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新规促货基转型 业内开始研究市价法货币基金

2017-09-06 06:51:42   中国经济网

据了解,有较长时间积累的基金公司相对来说发展货币基金规模空间还很大,不少都达到千亿级别。北京一中型公募的市场人士告诉记者,该公司在新规意见稿出台后便进行了压力测试,风险准备金比较充足。由于该公司的货币基金规模占公司资产管理规模比不是很大,因而在货币基金规模发展上没有压力。不过,也有人士表示,为了扩大规模也可以高比例提取风险准备金以满足需求。

货币基金收益率将下降

此次流动性风险管理新规对货币基金收益率也会有影响。据一家基金公司人士表示,该公司按照新规测算,整体对收益率的影响在10到20个基点范围内,“从新规来看,一些低评级的品种可能受到限制。”

有货币基金经理表示,对投资主要有两个方面的影响,一是投资范围基本提高到AAA品种,这个实际影响较小;二是对机构定制基金影响较大,因为限制产品久期会影响收益。业内人士分析,目前来看,对一些持有中低评级品种较多的货币基金影响较大。

有基金公司相关人士告诉记者,他们此前对货币基金投资要求已经达到了现在新规的要求,但货币基金的业绩很难表现突出。对于货币基金投资来说,蕴藏风险地追求收益率是有害无益的。

多位基金公司相关人士都认为,新规对机构定制产品的影响很大。一家大型基金公司固定收益投资人士表示,新规对全市场的定制货币基金影响会非常明显,收益显著下滑的概率较大,相比之下,对那些投资者分散的基金影响会较小。此外,他判断,新规对理财基金是个较大的利好。

业内正在研究

市价法货币基金

为了应对新规对货币基金的影响,目前不少基金公司都在积极研究,尝试跟机构沟通市价法货币基金。

“市价法货币基金可能会成为各大基金公司一个重点研究对象。”一家基金公司固定收益总监表示,目前该公司也在积极跟机构沟通市价法货币基金,看看机构对这类货币基金的态度。

有业内人士表示,货币基金投资久期较短,其实,市价法和非市价法的收益率差异不大,只是一个习惯问题,市价法货币基金测算来看波动也不会很大,大概率也会跟摊余成本法的货币基金走势一致,只不过是对于某些极端情况,可能出现收益调整情况。

“我们也在试探机构的态度,尤其是未来定制型货币基金大概率都会实行市价法货币基金模式,重点是在估值和记账上可能会有一些影响。”另一家基金公司产品人士表示。

当前我国货币基金均采用摊余成本法,美国监管层则在2014年7月底要求面向机构投资者的优质货币市场基金采用浮动资产净值。沪上一基金公司的监察稽核负责人认为,摊余成本法和市价法有着根本性的差别,“如果以公允价值计价,从理论上来讲,货币基金是有可能跌破面值的,但很多机构都是无法容忍低于一元面值的情况出现的。”

对于市价法货币基金可能出现跌破面值的情况,北京一券商系公募的投资经理表示,当前行业有不成文的规定,不允许货币基金亏损,所以,净值浮动不浮动没有差别,浮动净值型货币基金推出的可能性不大。

北京一中型公募的市场人员也表达类似看法,认为浮动净值型货币基金有可能出现亏损,投资者不太可能接受。

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