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结构性上涨行情将延续
2017-09-25 08:07:53 中国经济网
鼎锋资产认为,对于电池厂商而言,电池材料占电池总成本的比例并不高,相关企业普遍对材料价格不敏感。反倒是一旦上游原材料涨价,电池厂商就会跟随涨价,反而增加利润。在资本市场上,三元电池的快速增长值得看好,传统磷酸铁锂电池预计将保持相对稳定增长。整体而言,包括电池原材料和电池行业的优质上市公司,未来表现值得看好。
朱雀投资认为,从新能源汽车行业的需求角度来看,未来较长时间内存在两大利好因素。一是政策刺激,二是特斯拉在中高端消费市场的示范效应。从新能源汽车行业的供给角度来看,投资机会的挖掘,可以重点从行业进入壁垒和行业竞争格局两大维度展开。具体而言,在新能源汽车产业的子行业,包括锂矿、钴矿、电池、湿法隔膜、热管理和继电器值得重点研究,其中电池、湿法隔膜、热管理和继电器的投资机会值得重点关注。目前隔膜企业毛利率普遍在50%至60%左右,未来即使降价,毛利率也很难低于30%。因此,无论从行业空间还是竞争壁垒的角度来看,相对于电解液、负极材料等产业链部分,隔膜产业链预计将成为新能源汽车板块的最佳投资赛道。
上周A股市场尽管一度走软,但整体仍延续8月末以来高位横向休整格局。目前主流私募认为,短中期A股主要股指难以出现大涨大跌,在部分优质个股仍有良好基本面和估值支撑的背景下,个股结构性上涨行情将大概率得以延续。在具体板块投资上,多家私募表示继续看好新能源汽车产业链相关个股。
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