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13家房地产上市公司前三季业绩预喜
2017-09-25 08:02:52 中国经济网
12家公司预收款陡增
资讯数据显示,130家房地产公司中有128家公司在半年报数据中出现预收款,其中有4家公司预收款超过千亿元,预收款数额最大的公司为万科,上半年达到3579亿元;而上半年预收款为百亿级的公司有招商蛇口、荣盛发展等21家。
我国房地产销售基本采取预售制,房地产公司中的预收款就是其在期房销售中收取的业主的购房款,在未来一两年内将房屋交付给业主后才能确认为公司收入。因此,房地产公司的预收款多少在一定程度上预示着其未来一两年内转化为营业收入的规模大小,从而可以预测其未来一两年营业收入及净利润的变化态势。
半年报预收款超过百亿元乃至千亿元的这些公司都是规模大的公司,特别是预收款超过千亿元的公司,如万科、保利地产、绿地控股、华夏幸福等,在未来几年内这些预收款将陆续确认为营业收入,从而保证公司业绩稳定增长。
虽然以上这些公司预收款规模巨大,但从增长情况看,增幅不大。数据显示,万科预收款同比增长28.6%,保利地产同比增长26.6%。如果其均衡结转为收入,其收入增长也会是均衡的。
但有些公司预收款同比增幅较大。根据数据,从半年报看,有26家公司预收款同比增长1倍以上,其中同比增长2倍以上的有南国置业、珠江实业、中房地展等12家。这些公司规模不算很大,其预收款可能在未来某个时间确认为收入,因此这些公司很可能会在未来某个期间出现收入和利润大幅增长。而收入和利润的增长是推高估值的基本因素。
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