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房地产市场“大动作”频频 这次真的“变天”了?

2017-08-05 09:32:40   央广网

另一方面,在去杠杆背景下,房企融资压力持续增加。中原地产研究中心统计数据显示,2017年前7个月,房企融资渠道被压缩,包括私募债、公司债、中期票据等债权融资仅2238.97亿元,与2016年同期的7923.7亿元相比,下降了71.7%。

分析人士指出,待明后年偿债高峰期来临之际,债券融资带来的偿还规模叠加其他债务带来的兑付压力,可能将导致个别现金流出现危机的房企退出房地产市场

同策咨询研究部总监张宏伟向中国经济网记者指出,现阶段市场上呈现出许多新趋势,万达卖项目其实是在降负债,其他企业也有剥离不良资产,出售或合作相对不太优质的项目,下半年到四季度这个现象可能会更多。

“在近期限购限贷、房贷放缓情况下,市场交易量下降,开发商销售收入也随之下降,回款很难支付到期资金,加剧企业资金链紧张局面。四季度开发商可能采取主动降价措施。”张宏伟说。

消费层面:房贷收紧成交量探底

信贷是决定短期房价的关键因素,房价调整压力越来越大。以北京为例,自“3·17新政”等一系列政策调控下,北京房地产市场迅速降温,成交量探底,各家银行房贷审批和放款节奏也越来越慢。

央行统计数据显示,今年以来,北京市新增个人购房贷款在各项贷款中的占比大幅下降,且人民币个人购房贷款月度新增额呈不断下降趋势。

不过,由于房贷利率的提高,在房价开始下调的当下,购房者面临的购房成本可能增加。目前,北京地区首套房利率平均折扣为基准的1.01倍,上海、深圳、广州仍有部分银行提供基准以下优惠折扣,但总体额度有限。二线城市中,超7成银行首套利率已回归基准。

中原地产首席分析师张大伟向中经网记者指出,在进入惯例的7、8月淡季后,市场继续低迷,楼市调控政策影响继续加强。北京等一二线城市在3月调控后,网签成交量持续走低,市场开始进入调整周期。

“整体价格从4月开始到现在3个月累计跌幅在8%左右,部分区域房源价格超过了10%,目前的价格大约回到了春节前后水平。”张大伟说。

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