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人民币单日疾贬近1% 央妈刚教训完空头 又来教训多头?

2017-09-12 07:48:24   中国经济网

单日贬值近1%,莫不成,央妈刚教训完空头,又来教训多头?

9月11日,在岸人民币兑美元即期汇率上演“高空急坠”,收报6.5239元,暴跌622个基点,单日贬值近1%,创下2015年8月13日以来的最大单日跌幅。

急涨后现急跌这是闹哪样

今年人民币走势给大家上了生动的一课——“人无贬基”!

从年初与7元擦肩而过,到上周6.5元被轻松挑破,今年人民币以实际行动,维护了央妈那句“人无贬基”的权威性。

然而,“人无贬基”并不等于“只升不贬”,不能容忍人民币单边持续贬值的央妈,就会容忍人民币出现单边快速升值吗?

9月11日,人民币出现单日疾贬,在岸人民币即期价16:30收报6.5239元,较前收盘价大幅回调622个基点,单日贬值近1%。上一次人民币出现如此快速的贬值,还是在2015年“8·11汇改”期间。

就在上一个交易日(9月8日),在岸人民币还是一副不可阻挡的架势,盘中最高涨到6.4350元,创了2015年底以来新高。

急涨后急跌的背景,是央妈面对最近疯涨的人民币进行的一系列调整。

官方媒体确认,央行近日下发通知,境外人民币业务参加行在境内代理行存放存款准备金的政策从即日起取消。央行另宣布,从9月11日起,外汇风险准备金率也从20%调整为0.

不少市场人士还注意到,最近人民币中间价有点“不对劲”。

比如,11日早间,人民币兑美元汇率中间价上调35基点,设于6.4997元,再创16个月新高,这也是该中间价自8月28日以来连续第十一日上调,创2011年初以来最长连涨纪录,然而,当天人民币中间价上调幅度并不及市场预期。

此前一个交易日,国际市场上美元指数遭遇五连跌,盘中刷新2015年初以来低位纪录;境内市场上,人民币兑美元即期询价交易收报6.4617元,大涨355基点。

在前一日美元仍延续弱势的情况下,11日人民币兑美元中间价大幅低于前市场收盘价,虽是上调,实则展现了引导汇率下调的倾向。

不让人民币升值预期过度膨胀

联讯证券李奇霖表示:

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