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按照业内普遍认可的债市杠杆率公式——用债券托管量除以债券托管量和代购会债券余额的差值来计算,结果显示证券公司在所有类型机构中杠杆水平最高,6月、7月份分别为177%和168%,较年初上涨约30个百分点。
6月杠杆水平较年初涨幅较大的还有基金和保险等非银金融机构。其中,基金的杠杆率达137%,较年初上行18个百分点。
相比之下,商业银行杠杆率在6月、7月份总体控制在107%至108%。虽然农商行的7月杠杆水平仍高达138%,但是较年初减少了4个百分点。
此外,央行数据显示,6月存款类金融机构对其他金融机构的债权环比大幅增加1.4万亿元,同比增速出现反弹。这也从一个侧面反映出6月非银机构杠杆有增加趋势。
在当前的流动性压力之下,记者从业内了解到,一些非银机构已经开始减少回购量,主动控制杠杆水平。“进入8月份,机构整体操作比较谨慎,负债端管理难度和对资金的担忧增加,央行的公开市场操作也在改变市场对于前期资金面持续宽松的预期。”华创证券固定收益分析师周冠南说。
对于三季度整体杠杆水平,明明认为,监管与资金面均未放松,银行将保持二季度稳杠杆态势,非银杠杆也应当顺势企稳。(记者 金嘉捷)
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