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“伊拉克库尔德自治区独立公投面临引爆整个中东的危险。”俄罗斯塔斯社25日称,尽管受到西方和中东地区大国的巨大压力,但伊拉克库尔德自治区独立公投仍于当天如期进行。有专家担心,此举会引发“多米诺骨牌”效应,造成中东地区进一步动荡。
俄罗斯塔斯社25日报道称,公投于当地时间8时开始,18时结束,结果将在72小时内公布。当地最高独立选举委员会在公投前曾表示,有300多万居民拥有投票权,公投在6846个投票站举行,1737个委员会将在公投期间开展工作。25日,有400名国际观察员和来自世界各国的600多名记者在现场见证投票过程。当天,库尔德自治区领导人巴尔扎尼在埃尔比勒市中心的一个投票站投了票。
由于此次公投并未得到国际和地区大国的支持。因此在举行这一公投时,当地政府面临着巨大的政治和军事压力。25日,土耳其和伊朗军队在本国与库尔德自治区的交界地区分别举行大型军演。土耳其外交部当天宣布,因库尔德自治区举行独立公投,土国外交部强烈建议本国民众离开此地。公投结果没有任何法律效力,且还会威胁伊拉克和整个中东地区的和平与稳定。如果公投威胁到土耳其国家安全,土国将采取一切回击措施。土耳其总理耶尔德勒姆25日也表示:“我们不会因此发动战争,但将保卫国家的安全。”伊朗政府25日也表示,不会承认这一公投结果,并支持保持伊拉克国家统一。所有企图分裂伊拉克的行为,特别是在与恐怖分子正进行作战的背景下,都将引发灾难性后果。
俄罗斯《生意人报》25日报道称,伊拉克库尔德自治区独立公投,为在中东地区建立首个库尔德人的国家开辟了道路。这可能被伊朗、叙利亚和土耳其境内的分裂分子仿效,并削弱打击“伊斯兰国”恐怖组织的力量。因此,西方国家和地区大国对此次公投都感到十分不安。俄罗斯国立人文大学教授科萨奇称,毫无疑问,伊拉克库尔德自治区独立将成为土耳其、伊朗和叙利亚库尔德人效仿的榜样,在某种程度上推动邻国的库尔德人实施同样的路线。
俄新社25日称,只有以色列公开支持这一公投,法国、俄罗斯和美国都持观望态度。有分析人士认为,美国可能会同意库尔德自治区独立,但条件是必须确保允许美军使用其领土作为反伊朗的桥头堡。但库尔德人则大都希望与伊朗保持密切关系。(柳玉鹏)
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