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拆弹:降低高质押风险
据中国证券登记结算公司数据,截至9月11日,两市目前共有122只个股的质押股票占总股本的比例超过50%,8只个股质押股权比例超过70%,其中,藏格控股、茂业商业两家质押比例逼近80%,分别达到79.85%和79.48%。
与高比例质押伴随而生的是股价大幅波动带来的风险。在资本市场上,不乏由于股价大跌而面临“爆仓”风险的上市公司。以乐视网为例,依照乐视网2016年年报,贾跃亭实际持股6.83亿股,质押累计达6.14亿股,质押股份接近九成。而由于公司经营发生重大变化,停牌前乐视股价连续大跌。2016年6月初,乐视股价处于56元的高位,而在2017年一月初,股价已经跌到39元左右,再到4月份的停牌,股价更是下跌到仅30.68元,几近腰斩,一度处于爆仓的边缘。
如今,警报仍未解除。业内预测,如果乐视网复牌时没有重大利好,遭遇连续跌停的可能性较大,这笔5亿股的股权质押将面临“爆仓”风险。
此次发布的征求意见稿中,明确规范了上市公司股东过度质押问题,对质押数量设定了15%、30%、50%和60%四条“红线”,并规定上交所可以根据市场情况调整质押率上限。
华泰证券指出,四条“红线”提高了准入条件,无论是规模上还是渠道上都限制了股权质押的融资规模。质押比例限制的设定对于中小市值以及次新公司来说,也大幅提高了股权质押再融资的难度。
值得一提的是,今年5月份,监管层进一步规范上市公司的减持行为,从减持、质押两方面双管齐下,从而加强监管力度,实现风险有效管控。华泰证券指出,从长远看来,减持新规和质押新规双管齐下,通过画饼讲故事过日子的公司未来再融资难度加大,而致力于主营业务的公司或将享受更高估值溢价。
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