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ICO一周惊魂:虚拟货币跳水后反弹 仍有投资人火中取栗

2017-09-09 07:11:44   中国经济网

但是在短暂的下跌过后,虚拟货币价格在近日又强势回升。OKCoin行情显示,9月4日,比特币开盘价格为28100.02元/枚,收盘价格为26250.03元/枚;9月5日,比特币开盘价格为26299.88元/枚,收盘价格25960.01元/枚;9月6日,比特币开盘价格25962.03元/枚,收盘价格28797.00元/枚;9月7日,比特币开盘价格为28797.00元/枚,29000元/枚;截至昨日14点本报记者发稿,比特币盘中最高价格29030元/枚,最低价格28161元/枚。从本周价格走势来看,比特币呈明显V字型,前半周下挫,后半周一扫阴霾再度回升。

莱特币走势基本与比特币一致。9月4日开盘价格478.68元/枚,收盘价格402.49元/枚;9月5日盘中现本周最低价格344.91元/枚,收盘报417.98元/枚;9月6日低开高走,开盘价格417.96元/枚,收盘报496.50元/枚。近两日持续微幅上涨,截至昨日14点,盘中最高价为517.70元/枚。

“比特币等虚拟货币近期疯涨,主要原因是ICO项目初始资金募集需要用比特币等形式来支付,ICO的火爆导致虚拟货币的价格上升较快。受到政策的影响,虚拟货币在很长一段时间都将受到比较大的打击”,中国人民大学国际货币所、苏宁金融特约研究员李含虹在接受本报记者采访时表示。对于未来虚拟货币的价格的走势,他认为就目前来看,短期内可能不存在中长期的利好。

大多数ICO参与者为投机

业内建议投资者分散投资

统计数据显示,今年上半年ICO的全球总投资额约为18亿美元,仅中国ICO投资额就接近26亿元人民币。连“中国大妈”都纷纷跻身其中,足以见其火爆。需要关注的是,ICO项目的参与者大多数都是普通的投资人,并不完全了解何为ICO、何为区块链。

“很多投资者参与ICO项目主要是希望通过ICO项目获取潜在的高收益,大家都听过比特币、以太坊的造富传奇,希望自己也能够获取高额的回报。实际上,从专业投资的角度来看,高收益往往伴随着高风险。”挖财基金投研总监郭华山对《证券日报》记者表示,“我们姑且不论项目自身存在的风险,其实很多所谓的ICO项目成为一些不法人员骗钱的工具,因此投资者参与ICO项目确实面临着很高的风险。ICO项目本身没有问题,关键是ICO项目的定位以及如何发展和规范管理。市场上确实有专业投资者从投资角度参与ICO项目,但是我们认为更多的参与者是博取短期高收益,是一种投机行为。”

有业内人士认为,许多不具有风险承受能力的投资者投资ICO项目,也从侧面反映出了当前“有钱没地儿投”的问题。实际上,“资产荒”也是近两年互金圈里被频频提及的词汇。郭华山认为,流动性过剩和实体经济节奏、企业效益不匹配是资产荒的根本原因。资产荒并不是没有资产可投,而是优质的资产越来越少,收益预期也在下降,进而导致投资收益无法覆盖资金成本。“今年的资产荒问题不是特别明显,一方面是我国去杠杆政策的持续推进,流动性过剩的压力得到缓解;另一方面是经济增长超出市场预期,企业投资积极性提高。根据目前政府去杠杆力度和决心来看,我们认为今年应该不会产生资产荒压力。”

在当前的金融市场环境下,普通投资者应如何进行合理的资产配置呢?郭华山对《证券日报》记者表示,从宏观层面来看,建议普通投资者将自己可支配的投资资金进行分散投资,坚持资产配置,避免把资金投资单一市场或者单一标的。资产配置可以通过不同类型的组合投资减少风险,能起到降低投资风险提高收益的作用。

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