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煤炭库存设上下限 煤价上涨压力依旧大

2017-08-31 10:05:57   中国经济网

据第一财经了解,目前电厂储煤普遍偏低。以8月30日几大发电集团的储煤情况为例,国电库存234.51万吨,可用14天;大唐库存115.2万吨,可用14天;华能库存336万吨,可用15天。

数据来源:国家统计局  煤价上涨压力依旧大

中宇资讯煤炭分析师徐时楠对第一财经表示,在多方利好的支撑下,煤炭整体走势多维持坚挺态势。“宏观经济向好的大背景拉动煤炭整体消费,9~10月是钢材(3795, -61.00,-1.58%)的消费旺季,炼焦煤和喷吹煤的价格会有适度增长,11~12月特别是冬季取暖后,煤炭消耗更高,支撑动力煤和无烟煤的价格走势。此外,煤矿安全生产形势得到重视,因此短期来看,炼焦煤市场供应偏紧,需求旺盛和供应紧张一直支撑焦煤走势。在下游高利润的驱动下,对炼焦煤的采购积极性不减。”

本次公布的《考核办法》显示,对于煤炭最高、最低库存考核不达标的企业将有惩罚措施。

具体来看,一年内,企业库存考核一次不达标的,纳入企业信用“灰名单”;两次不达标的,要被通报批评;三次及以上不达标的,纳入企业信用“黑名单”,对有关煤炭企业执行差别电价,并按比例实施减量化生产,对有关发电企业核减计划电量,并在参与电力交易上给予一定限制。

对因未执行最低、最高库存制度造成缺煤停机、影响发电供热的,按照《电网调度管理条例》等有关规定严肃追究问责;对囤积居奇、哄抬物价、扰乱市场秩序的价格违法行为,依法进行查处。

国家统计局数据显示,截至8月7日,秦皇岛5500大卡煤炭平仓价每吨608元,比7月初上涨23元。

多位接受第一财经采访的专家认为,当前煤炭价格上涨压力依然较大。

林伯强表示,目前煤炭价格仍有上涨压力的主要原因是中央环保督察以及今年冬季限产。需要避免督察组离开后,污染企业又加大生产的情况发生。

集成期货分析师邓舜则对第一财经表示,动力煤虽进入淡季,但8月份电厂库存偏低,9月份会有补库存的过程,动力煤价格会小幅上升。

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