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跳空缺口奠定上涨基础

2017-08-29 09:36:08   中国经济网

基本面背景

1、最新统计显示,截至8月24日,2000余只涉股基金平均估算仓位为54.68%,与一个月前相比增加1.87个百分点。包括博时、上投摩根、汇添富在内的42家基金公司旗下基金的平均股票仓位提升超过3个百分点。其中,华安、金鹰、平安大华等11家基金公司旗下基金将股票仓位猛提超过10个百分点。

2、8月份以来,借助中报披露这一时间窗口加入减持阵营的重要股东迅速增多,尤其是业绩同比大增的周期类企业成为减持的主力。在减持新规效应不断发酵的背景下,不少股东除了选择在业绩大增的中报窗口借机套现外,5%的持股红线也被争先迈过。

机构看市

昨日,沪深两市股指小幅高开,在券商股和保险股走强的推动下,上证综指呈现单边上行的态势。下午2点,受科大讯飞股价跳水的影响,上证综指出现回落,涨幅收窄,但最终仍收涨0.93%,成交量也较上一个交易日有所放大。盘面上,券商股、高送转、次新股等板块涨幅居前;银行、食品、无人驾驶等板块跌幅居前。

大摩投资:从技术面来看,昨日上证综指高开高走,成交量明显放大,缓解了市场对上周五突破没有放量的担忧。目前来看,股指在突破后的走势比较健康,成交量也有放大,预计短期连续收出长阳后,股指将逐步转为震荡上行走势。

中证投资:昨天券商股强势崛起,对大盘再创反弹新高贡献良多。券商股普遍大幅放量,显示场外资金对券商股前景十分看好。当前上证综指已站上3300点大关,券商股上涨的持续性将直接关系到指数的安危,也是考验此轮反弹行情的试金石。另外,近期次新股表现活跃,带动中小盘股集体走强,为市场营造了强大的赚钱效应。随着此类个股的走强,有望为市场带来宝贵的增量资金。

钱坤投资:从22家已发布半年报的券商股的前十大股东信息来看,中证金公司在二季度增持了11只券商股。伴随上证综指突破3300点,上升空间已被打开,券商股肯定会受益,后市仍值得关注。中小创个股昨天的活跃程度大于上周五,后市仍可保持活跃,值得继续关注。

珞珈投资:从目前市场运行趋势看,短期股指或继续冲高,但热点分化难免,投资者不可盲目追涨。昨日券商股列涨幅第一,虽然创业板中的次新股也出现补涨,但科大讯飞、四维图新等个股出现跳水,仍会引发谨慎情绪升温。预计短期股指维持强势仍是大概率事件,可继续关注绩优蓝筹股的表现。

宁波海顺:昨日,三大股指出现跳空缺口,奠定了未来股指再创反弹新高的基础,上涨空间就此打开。一旦本周上证综指继续在3300点上方运行,场外资金将会陆续进场,量能放大是一个非常积极的信号,原先场外观望的资金已经有点坐不住了。后市第一目标位为3500点,但期间还会有波折。大盘慢牛、热点呈结构性上涨仍是未来运行的大方向。

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