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蓄势待发 两融余额万亿关口小撤步

2017-09-27 07:52:54   

伴随沪深两市6月以来震荡反弹,沪深两市两融余额呈震荡连升态势。9月20日,沪深两融余额报9976.62亿元,距离万亿元仅一步之遥,创下了去年1月20日以来新高。截至9月25日,两融余额收报9890.53亿元,在连续攀升之后出现回落。

分析人士指出,股指目前上攻3400点遇挫,融资资金小幅回落,但整体回落幅度有限,表明融资资金整体依然看好后市,未出现大面积偿还。在浮筹充分消化后,指数有望再度冲击3400点。

两融余额创新高之后回落

今年9月,两融资金几乎以跑步的姿势涌入股市。9月20日,沪深两融余额报9976.62亿元,距离万亿元仅一步之遥,创下了去年1月20日以来新高。截至9月25日,沪深两市两融余额收报9890.53亿元,在连续攀升之后出现回落。

从月度角度看,沪深两融余额自5月份以来便逐步递增,5月底两融余额为8696.25亿元,6月增加102.37亿元至8798.62亿元,7月份增量金额进一步提升至200亿元以上的水平,而8月份则进一步上升到450亿元的增量,截至目前,9月份增量资金是420亿元左右。9月25日相对5月底,整整增加了1194.28亿元,增幅达13.73%,对应5月底以来沪综指涨幅接近8%。

分析人士指出,三季度起市场环境整体偏暖,各热点板块有序轮动,供给侧改革、国企混改、人工智能、雄安新区等主题给市场资金介入提供了题材,较好地维持了人气。同时蓝筹板块赚钱效应明显,给投资者树立了业绩为王的价值投资标杆,故而吸引融资资金入场。

从周角度看,沪深两融余额自7月21日当周至9月22日当周,连续10周保持持续增加的态势,9月25日则出现回调。

“近期,市场在上攻3400点一线受阻,因此有资金选择离场观望,两融资金出现回落也在情理之中。”上述分析人士表示。

从个券来看,9月以来,融资净买入额前五只股票分别为中国平安、赣锋锂业、盐湖股份、浦发银行和万华化学,净买入额分别为14.11亿元、13.86亿元、12.79亿元、11.78亿元和10.99亿元。

上述五只股票期间涨幅分别为-2.31%、12.53%、71.99%、1.18%和12.18%。除中国平安之外,上述股票整体获得正收益,尤其介入盐湖股份的融资客在其中可以说赚得盆满钵满。

同期净偿还额居前的是中国铝业、伊利股份、工商银行、五粮液和厦门国贸,金额分别为4.37亿元、3.23亿元、3.06亿元、2.96亿元和2.37亿元。其中除厦门国贸下跌16.53%外,其余四只股票9月以来涨幅分别为1%、10.63%、2.88%和2.52%。

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