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上周主流热点分化加剧

2017-09-25 08:06:53   中国经济网

上证综指上周高位震荡整理,预计本周有企稳反弹要求,但整体仍将维持高位区间震荡整理格局。

上周本栏目继续维持对部分重点大金融、品牌消费、智能科技、消费电子、国企改革、军工及军民融合、新能源汽车产业链等行业主题中部分原有重点星级股的评级。上周增“*”股为原“*”股盐湖股份、比亚迪、大洋电机、光讯科技、亨通电子、国科微、景嘉微等,分属盐湖提锂、新能源汽车、燃料电池、光通信、芯片替代等主题,近期在资金介入下维持上攻,故上调操作评级转入“**”。上周新增“*”股为通富微电、华天科技、士兰微、长电科技、紫光国芯、中颖电子、华微电子、上海新阳、索菱股份、路畅科技、华力创通、三环集团、西部矿业、宝钛股份、章源钨业、天汽模、复兴医药、第一创业等,分属半导体、芯片替代、智能驾驶、有色小金属、特斯拉、医药、证券等主题,近期资金介入迹象明显,股价补涨反弹或延续中期上涨行情,故新加“*”列出关注。

上周减“*”股为原中线重点“***”股江特电机、雅化集团、远望谷、铁龙物流、赢时胜、北方稀土、天原集团等,经过波段上攻后转入整理,故下调操作评级转入“*”。原“*”短线股朗玛信息、万达信息、炼石有色、纳川股份等,经过短线反弹后转入波段整理,故暂取消星级股评级。

主板市场上周继续受部分上证50权重股回调整理的影响,延续高位震荡整理走势。前期表现强势的钢铁、煤炭、有色金属等二线蓝筹周期股出现获利回撤,导致主板指数重心下移,延续震荡整理格局。同时,受新能源汽车、锂电等近期表现强势的题材股持续走弱的影响,中小板指和创业板指短线也均转入整理。随着“十一”长假的临近,部分机构在长假前兑现利润的迹象明显,导致市场风险偏好快速下降,市场分歧加大,谨慎气氛抬头。本周是长假前的最后一周,预计上半周的套现压力较大,短线大盘仍存在震荡整理的要求。但上证50指数中的部分权重股有短线企稳反弹迹象,预计主板指数回调的空间比较有限,下半周有企稳反弹的可能;上证50权重股的短线走势值得关注。

热点方面,近期表现强势的有色小金属板块走势分化,低位补涨的相关个股仍存在交易性机会;股价处于高位的锂、钴等小金属个股则要谨慎对待。在周期类涨价题材股里,除了个别化工股和造纸股外,短期出现整体性趋势性机会的可能不大。最近两周持续保持强势的人工智能芯片主题也呈现扩散态势,上周前半周半导体相关个股则出现补涨,但追高应谨慎。人工智能国产替代芯片、半导体等行业中的龙头股在分化后仍值得中期关注。部分5G题材股上周受5G建设提速的预期影响出现补涨,相关受益股仍值得中期关注。此外,随着三季报的临近,保持行业高景气度的部分细分行业龙头也存在再度走强的可能,如光通信、苹果产业链等相关个股,在回调后仍值得中期关注。经过本轮两小创回调后,部分人工智能、智能驾驶、物联网、云服务等相关行业细分龙头个股回调后仍可中期关注。天财投资 黎明

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