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盘前:沪指连续回调 短期还有反复可能

2017-09-11 08:47:40   中国经济网

经济日报-中国经济网北京9月11日讯 上周市场先扬后抑,在创出本轮反弹新高的基础上,周四和周五两个交易日连续回调,失守10日均线;中小创整体表现优于大盘指数,但随着上攻动力减弱,热点板块活跃度和辐射度双向收缩。此外,交易所就修订股票质押回购业务向社会公开征求意见,释放出一定去杠杆信号,令投资者心理承压。

上周五市场冲高回落,受金融股走势疲弱影响,沪综指表现弱于深成指;创业板站上1900点后技术回调压力加大,量能环比明显萎缩。从一周盘面看,周期板块内部发生分化,有色金属板块强者恒强,钢铁、建筑材料、采掘板块则出现较为明显回落,全周金融股、周期股、题材股交错上涨,市场多空争夺趋于激烈。

截至上周五收盘,沪综指一周下跌0.06%报收3365.24点,深成指上涨0.83%报收10970.77点,创业板指大涨1.07%报收1885.27点,中小板指上涨0.88%报收7448.77点。成交方面,由于权重股大多低迷,小盘股相对活跃,次新股展开调整,沪市成交额连下台阶,上周五已经收窄至2351.60亿元,深市和中小板、创业板成交大体持平,资金短线参与热情趋向谨慎,存量博弈仍是当前市场主要特征。

机构观点

巨丰投顾:上周五两市震荡整理,延续周四以来的调整。盘面上,有色等资源股展开表现,而金融股迎来调整,市场分化下,个股相对活跃;消息上,人民币兑美元中间价报6.5032,上调237点,连续十日调升,人民币升值下,造纸等板块短期可继续跟踪;技术面,股指分时背离,但下行空间不大,有震荡修复的可能,盘中未能收复5日均线,短期还有反复的可能。总体上,进入到9月份,市场正在悄然发生变化,除了市场分化之外,增量资金在持续的介入,两融余额也是达到了两年内的高位区域,市场即将发生变革。周五盘面看,股指下方支撑明显,短期的回调空间有限,这里的技术性回踩有望在短期内结束,逢低还可积极关注低位的相关个股,尤其是有业绩支撑并且近期出现堆量的标的,随时都有启动的可能,可加大关注力度。

源达投顾:从技术上看,上证指数继续维持窄幅震荡之势,分时上冲高回落。日线图上虽然受制于5日、10日均线的压制,但横盘格局并未改变,下方遗留的跳空缺口支撑力量犹存。另外,连续两日的调整并未伴随有成交量的放大,说明市场恐慌情绪并未彰显。深市三大股指也呈现回落之势,尤其是创业板盘中振幅相对较大,日线上一度试探十日线支撑。不过周线级别上行格局保持良好。周五市场延续调整之势,深市三大股指均跌漏5日均线,上证指数也运行于10日均线之下,沪指收星,变盘时机或将来临。但是好在市场量能并未有效放大,市场快速杀跌的风险不大。然而盘面热点依旧散乱无章,个股呈现跌多涨少,关注周末市场消息。操作上,建议不要过分拘泥于指数的日内波动,重点把握个股操作机会,关注人民币升值概念。

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