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人民币中间价连续调升十天 四大受益概念板块“涨升”响

2017-09-09 07:31:44   中国经济网

编者按:昨日,人民币对美元汇率中间价调升237个基点,报6.5032,为去年5月12日以来新高,且为有记录来第二次连升10日。至此,本周人民币对美元汇率中间价累计调升877个基点。受此提振,近日人民币升值概念股明显走强,旅游、航空运输、石油化工、造纸等受益概念股纷纷上涨。分析人士表示,人民币升值无疑将对金融资本市场形成中期利好,有利于大盘向上拓展空间。与此同时,境外“热钱”也将闻风而动,积极布局高保值、强流动性的人民币资产。故此,今日本版特对旅游、航空运输、石油化工、造纸等四大受益概念板块进行梳理分析,以供投资者参考。

原油价格持续反弹

汇率变化对子行业影响各异

通常来看,主要原材料的进口依存度是衡量行业是否受益人民币升值的主要逻辑之一。

根据数据显示,2016年中国原油净进口量约为3.76亿吨,同比增长13.1%,增速较往年高5.0个百分点。全年石油净进口3.56亿吨,同比增长3.3个百分点。原油和石油对外依存度分别为65.5%和64.4%。上半年,进口原油2.12亿吨,同比增长13.8%,对外依存度持续维持在65%以上的较高水平,并在单月数据上多次超越美国,成为全球第一大原油进口国。

由此,随着人民币对美元汇率中间价的持续走高,石油化工行业的关注度也呈现逐渐升温的态势。对此,分析人士表示,一方面,近一段时间美元指数的持续走低,对以美元计价的国际油价提供较强支撑,从一个侧面推动国际油价回暖,并增厚我国相关上市公司业绩;另一方面,多数公司成品油进口均以美元计价,人民币汇率的提升将相对降低原油采购成本,并增大调剂国内市场资源的空间。

截至昨日北京时间18时30分,布伦特原油主力合约报54.82美元/桶,创今年4月中旬以来的阶段新高,自6月22日触底反弹以来累计涨幅已超过20%,较2016年1月21日创下的27.29美元/桶的低点累计涨幅已超过90%。

《证券日报》市场研究中心根据同花顺数据统计发现,在8月28日以来的近10个交易日中,在沪深两市18只石油化工个股中,东华能源(3.90%)、广聚能源(3.81%)、岳阳兴长(2.58%)、国创高新(2.29%)、康普顿(2.27%)、泰山石油(2.07%)、国际实业(1.97%)、龙蟠科技(1.85%)、海越股份(1.75%)、宝利国际(1.07%)、华锦股份(1.05%)等11只个股期间累计涨幅均跑赢同期上证指数。

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