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调查称明年中国企业员工平均工资有望增长7%

2016-11-10 15:33:38   

在日本另一个通货紧缩期后,国际货币基金组织预测2017年日本会经历边际通货膨胀。持续的通胀与通货紧缩之间的波动表明,政府近几年来在增加工资和鼓励消费方面的努力恐怕难以持续,因此日本在可预见的将来会继续经历较低的工资增速。就实际工资增长情况而言,2017年日本员工的预计调薪率为1.9%,增长速度位列亚太区倒数第六。

尽管在2016年和2017年都实现了4%的名义调薪率,上升的通胀率导致新加坡员工明年的实际调薪率将会降低。新加坡将从2016年0.3%的通货紧缩变成2017年1.1%的通货膨胀,员工的实际工资增长将遭受打击。2017年的实际调薪率预计为2.9%,难以重现2016年突出的4.3%平均实际调薪率。

2017年印度将成为亚太区实际调薪率第二高的国家。平均而言,2017年增长的名义调薪率和下降的通胀率使得印度员工预计实际调薪率为4.8%。

全球市场工资增长情况

2017年阿根廷员工购买力增长将位列全球第一,预计实际工资增长率为6.5%,在今年的ECA薪酬趋势全球排名中实际调薪率位列第一。2015年总统马克里的当选给阿根廷带来了更多有利于市场的经济政策和来自商界的支持。新政府也与之前的债权国缔约,允许阿根廷在经过十多年不能向外国贷款的时期后又重新能够向国际借贷。新的投资和预期通胀率的大幅下降将为阿根廷在经历一段漫长的不稳定和不确定时期后的良好经济发展奠定基础。

根据全球公司预测,2017年名义工资平均上升5%,稍微高于今年4.8%的平均值。全球平均实际调薪率预计为1.5%,略低于2016年的1.6%。

2017年英国公司员工预期平均薪酬增长为2.9%。英国脱欧后导致的英镑贬值预计会造成英国生活成本的增加,相较于2016年1.9%的实际工资增长率,这将使明年员工实际调薪率下降至仅0.3%。英国接下来的12个月里的通货膨胀预计将达到2.5%。

英国平均实际调薪率预计低于欧洲其他国家及地区。2017年,欧洲工资预计平均增长1.3%,低于2016年的1.8%。俄罗斯预计成为欧洲实际调薪率最高的国家,预计调薪率为3%,全球排名第十。

乌克兰2017年的实际调薪率将仍将在欧洲的排名靠后。2017年预计的工资增长率将低于预计的通胀率,所以实际工资将降低,为-1%。尽管通胀率可能保持高涨,但预计在2017年下降至11%,稍微减轻薪酬的上升压力。

在加拿大和美国,公司员工的实际工资增长率预计分别为0.9%和0.7%,增速均有所降低。2017年美洲员工总体有望实现1.6%的增长,高于2016年的0.5%。非洲和中东国家员工准备实现平均0.5%的实际工资增长。埃及员工的境况将进一步恶化,预计2017年将出现8.2%的降低。埃及政府计划削减下个财政年度的总补贴金,预计将导致2017年更高的通货膨胀。燃料补贴将是最严重的打击,会导致埃及国内燃料价格高涨。

“实际工资”指经通货膨胀调整过的工资。预计通胀率是基于来自国际货币基金组织的资料—不含阿根廷。采用Consensus Economics来确定阿根廷的通胀率。

责任编辑:李皓 CN002
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