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但是遇刺同时,“正义与发展党”作为执政党,同样需要考虑土耳其所面临的复杂地区环境。
对于土耳其来说,过去的十多年中,伊拉克库尔德自治政府事实上已经成为了土耳其的重要盟友;而且对于土耳其来说,其最担心的是国内南部库尔德人地区活跃的“库尔德工人党”,以及与“库尔德工人党”存在密切关系的、活跃在叙利亚北部库尔德人地区的“库尔德民主联盟党”。
打击这些团体,就需要得到来自于周边国家或者次国家行为体的帮助,而伊拉克库尔德自治区政府,尤其是自治区政府内占据主导地位的伊拉克库尔德民主党和库尔德爱国联盟,实际上将“库尔德工人党”和“库尔德民主联盟党”视为死敌。因此,对于土耳其来说,需要维系与伊拉克库尔德人的合作关系。
因此在此次库尔德公投中,土耳其表现出了犹豫。土耳其在多个场合表达了威胁,土耳其总理耶尔德勒姆措辞强硬地表示,土耳其不会容忍伊拉克库尔德自治区独立;但是另一方面,土耳其并没有封锁边境,更没有断绝与伊拉克库尔德地区的经济往来,而这是维系当前伊拉克库尔德地区经济社会发展的关键命脉。
文/王晋 以色列海法大学国际政治学博士研究生
责任编辑:杨晓晨 CN067
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