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湘财证券抛出20亿定增计划 我们发现了背后的秘密

2017-09-25 22:21:53   中国经济网

1、2011年3月底,湘财证券与财富证券筹划吸收合并,谋求登陆A股市场。具体的实施方式是,湘财证券以现金收购财富证券33%以上股权,然后通过换股吸收合并其他股东股权。但双方在付款方式等具体操作层面陷入僵持,并购计划无疾而终。

2、湘财证券于2014年1月24日挂牌新三板。2015年1月23日,上市公司大智慧拟通过现金加股权的方式收购湘财证券100%股份,作价85亿元,大智慧股价3个月内整整翻了4倍。

但事与愿违,4月30日,大智慧因信息披露涉嫌违反证券法律规定,遭证监会立案调查;5月,受立案调查影响,该重组案被迫中止;2016年3月8日,重组案宣告终止。

对于黄伟执掌的“新湖系”来说,无疑是其布局资本市场的一次失利。而对于湘财证券来说,不仅“互联网+券商”梦碎了,停牌一年半也错过了新三板2015年定增市场火爆时期,也是券商疯狂补充净资本的黄金时期。2015年4月,联讯证券在新三板上成功募资27.9亿元。

需要补充的是,湘财证券在挂牌期间出现的问题也不少,据不完全统计,从2016年至今,湘财证券因内控问题被股转、证监会等处罚的次数超过了4次。

3、湘财证券IPO,黄伟十年浮盈超两倍

很多人关心的是,湘财证券接下去会怎么走?

或能在其2016年财报中找到答案。

1、资本金规模仍是决定湘财证券发展的根本问题,将通过各类资本扩充手段和融资手段增强资本实力;

2、利用互联网技术实现经纪业务转型;

3、提升综合金融服务能力,目前正筹备设立公募基金子公司;

4、子公司金泰富开展战略并购业务。2017年中报显示,新增投资上海精酿信息科技有限公司,及深圳市傲基电子商务股份有限公司,二者均属于电商。

除此之外,湘财证券也在资本市场寻求突破。继两次冲刺A股失败后,湘财证券这次选择了IPO。

2017年2月9日,湘财证券开始接受上市辅导。按照上市券商2016年静态PE平均值30倍来算,一旦湘财证券成功登陆A股市场,整体市值或达127.93亿元。

这就意味着,实控人黄伟通过新湖控股和新湖中宝合计间接持有湘财证券74.59%的股权,持股市值可能达到95.42亿元。10年的时间,黄伟账面浮盈或达2.5倍,回报率并不高。

但问题是,湘财证券能IPO成功吗?就目前来看,湘财证券挂牌期间频遭处罚可能会给其IPO带来阻碍。

更重要的是,监管函可能还会导致湘财证券评级下降,大致有几个影响:

1、直接影响其风险准备金规模要求,及缴纳的投资者保护基金比例;

2、在新的评级体系下,业务资格与评级结果挂钩的,评级下降将对后续申请业务种类、网点开设、发行上市等业务造成重大影响;

3、评价等级还对券商以自有资金进行股票回购交易规模进行限制,分类评价结果为A、B、C类的券商自有资金融资余额分别不得超过净资本的150%、100%和50%,直接影响湘财证券自营、信用交易等业务开展。

这就意味着,评级下降可能对湘财证券未来经营目标造成重大影响。

对于券商来说,净资本规模以及风控能力将成为驱动发展重要因素,评级结果对经营的影响仍在进一步加强,湘财证券想要翻盘可能还有很长一段路要走。

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