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纵横通信存货3亿毛利率逐年下降 券商定价上限30元

2017-08-31 07:10:50   中国经济网

室内分布系统技术服务增长势头强劲,公司业绩有望保持增长。2016年公司室内分布技术服务业务营收1.44亿,同比增长61.82%,涨势强劲。今年4月,公司中标中国移动浙江分公司室分、WLAN集采项目大单,份额1.6亿,保障了今年室分业绩。随着与武汉虹信逐步业务剥离,公司独立参与招投标后,室分业务有望持续、快速增长。

估算2017年、2018年和2019年每股收益0.76元、0.84元和0.92元。参照通信网络技术服务同类上市公司,我们给予公司2017年30-40倍市盈率,对应合理价值区间为22.8元-30.4元。

西南证券研报同时表示,纵横通信存在部分风险因素:我国第四代、第五代通信网络推进低于预期;募投项目进度或不及预期风险。

  毛利率逐年下降

招股书显示,纵横通信2014年至2016年毛利率分别为30.22%、25.66%、20.52%。毛利率呈逐年下降趋势。

纵横通信表示,公司各类业务毛利率呈下降态势,主要原因包括:1)发行人为进一步拓展新的市场,在投标时会综合考虑收益与竞争情况,适当降低投标报价。而电信运营商也出于降低自身成本的需要,降低了对第三方服务商的招标价格,并提高了考核标准,也在一定程度上降低了发行人的毛利率水平。2)发行人业务的开展需要专业技术人员以及对外采购的劳务。而近年来,我国人力资源成本不断加大,从而降低了发行人毛利率。同时,发行人承接的大规模项目逐渐增加等因素,使得外购劳务占比逐年增加,从而进一步降低了发行人毛利率。

证监会反馈意见显示,纵横通信各类业务毛利率都呈逐年下降趋势。请发行人:(1)结合业务所处行业情况,补充披露各类服务毛利率之间差异的原因;(2)结合采购价格变化、上下游产业的波动情况等情况,分不同业务类型,详细披露毛利率变化的原因,量化分析上述情况的变化对发行人毛利率的影响;(3)补充分析毛利率呈现下降趋势对发行人未来盈利能力的影响。请保荐机构、会计师对上述情况进行补充核查,说明核查的过程和依据,并发表核查意见。

  大客户业务占比近8成业务靠招标

据界面报道,从招股说明书来看,纵横通信的大客户集中度过高的问题非常值得投资者关注。公司在其招股书中披露,2014年-2016年,公司对中国移动的销售收入占营业收入的比例分别为88.37%、85.57%和78.12%,也就是说,纵横通信的业务绝大部分还是依赖于中国移动。

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