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券商股调整 次新股接力

2017-08-30 09:38:38   中国经济网

周二深沪股市整体呈现出高位震荡整理态势。早盘沪指微幅低开后在银行、保险的带动下震荡走高。与此同时,创业板表现相对低迷,证券板块小幅回落,大盘上行后迎来整理;午后随着权重指数的进一步走低和周期股的回落,各大指数震荡回落,不过次新股连续拉升,指数震荡中迎来分化。而临近尾盘,次新股急拉后跳水,指数下行翻绿。截至收盘,沪综指上涨0.08%报收3365.23点,深成指下跌0.44%报收10762.37点,中小板指下跌0.33%报收7274.99点,创业板指下跌0.61%报收1831.59点。两市合计成交5653亿元,量能明显萎缩。

昨日盘面下跌个股远多于上涨个股,其中非ST个股涨停43只,跌停2只。板块方面,次新股、电力等涨幅居前,券商、煤炭等跌幅靠前。

次新股表现抢眼

近期,随着大盘企稳攀升,次新股再度成为市场焦点。昨日盘面,表现最抢眼也属次新股,虽然尾盘澄天伟业、建科院、设计总院等个股纷纷跳水,但整体看次新股全天表现依然强势。目前代表次新股走势的指数深次新股已经连续实现3个交易日大涨,区间累计涨幅超过8%,与同期大盘涨2%相比,深次新股指数已经明显跑赢大盘。

对于次新股的大涨,巨丰投顾郭一鸣认为,一方面是因为次新股是本轮大盘反弹板块轮动的最后标的,在盘子小的优势下容易得到拉升;另一方面,次新股前提调整时间充分,力度也大,反弹时候往往容易引发超跌大反弹;此外,由于次新股本身独特的稀缺性,外加流通市值较小,次新股往往都能够吸引游资布局。

那么,后市次新股还会持续疯狂吗?源达投顾认为,首先从板块上看,本次股指突破3300点,次新股无疑起到了至关重要的作用,但是随着近三个交易日板块的连续上涨,加之昨日尾盘的大跳水,短期指数存在震荡整理的需求;其次,次新股板块是一个受政策影响很大的板块,股票特停成为板块走弱的杀手,前期临停的次新股中最强势的中科信息就给后市次新股的上涨起到了压制作用,所以短期或难有超越的个股,以防被盯上。第三,由于短期指数存在震荡整理的需求,在震荡调整的大背景下,次新股持续走强的难度增大。

短线震荡在所难免

经过连续三天的上攻,沪指涨幅达到百点,短期是否存在震荡整理的要求?

容维投资认为,经过连续的逼空走势,短线市场出现宽幅震荡的局面在所难免。从技术面看,目前5日均线继续保持向上的趋势,MACD红柱比前一交易日有所增长,KDJ指标有所钝化,成交量比前一交易日有所萎缩,说明目前市场在连续两日大阳线之后有高位震荡消化获利盘的需求。总体上5、10、20日均线均保持明显的多头排列,对于后市总体运行产生了积极的因素。操作上,短线的投资者可趁着反弹逐渐降低手中仓位,中线投资者可继续持有手中股票。

宁波海顺认为,昨日盘面属于强势调整,三大指数都没有要回补缺口的意思。昨日量能略有缩小,不过相较于此前的量能,这个调整的量能也足矣。预计后市仍将延续震荡上攻行情,短线股指调整时间不会很长,这是一个上车的好点位。如果跳空回补缺口,那么调整的时间跨度将会被拉长,上涨的空间也将缩小。

金百临咨询秦洪认为,近期A股市场虽然出现了大金融产业股冲关夺隘,但并未出现新增资金大踏步进场信号。其诱因就是因为估值过于高企,不少增量资金裹足不前,如此就使得A股持续大涨的买力不足,高估值品种只能继续调整,从而拖累了指数运行节奏。不过,虽然增量资金裹足不前,但存量热钱却仍然有着较为积极的做多意愿,从而为后续行情的演绎奠定了较强的人气基础。不仅在于存量热钱仍然拥有调节盘面走势的能力,而且还在于市场仍然存在着新的题材催化剂,从而成为A股后续行情新的涨升引擎。所以,投资者对后市走势也不宜悲观。

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