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上海家化有了“好业绩” 却没等来预想中的行情

2017-08-29 16:40:36   中国经济网

与此同时,尽管销售毛利率上升,但净利润率却下降。今年上半年毛利率从去年同期的60.9%提升至69.9%,上升9个百分点,但净利润率却从去年同期的12.15%下降至8.15%,下降4个百分点。

净利润率之所以下滑,主要是因为上海家化在今年加大了品牌宣传力度,旗下佰草集与六神分别签约刘涛和华晨宇,相关代言费和市场活动是一笔不小的开支。

上海家化能向投资者表示上半年利润超出去年全年,也是因为去年下半年的业绩本身就存在异常。例如,在去年第四季度,该公司出资1亿元冠名天猫双十一晚会,但是并未起到良好的营销效果。再加上其他效果不佳的产品推广活动,去年第四季度业绩总计亏空2亿元以上。

此前上海家化斥资2.93亿美元从母公司上海家化(集团)有限公司(下称家化集团)手中收购Cayman A2 Ltd.,后者的资产主要为英国婴幼儿喂哺品牌汤美天地(Tommee Tippee)。

这笔关联交易被视为上海家化填补花王业务缺口所迈出的重要一步。不过,交易产生的高估值却令投资者感到担忧。去年Cayman A2净亏损人民币1500万元,今年承诺实现净利润850万元左右。即便按照今年的利润计算,上海家化从母公司手中收购资产的估值也超过了200倍动态市盈率。

目前中国婴幼儿喂哺市场拥有巨大空间,尤其考虑到汤美天地生产与销售的是喂哺容器和配件。随着国内中产阶层的收入继续提升,他们对婴幼儿产品的高要求将越来越不局限于配方奶粉。

不过,上海家化真正面临的考验是如何控制开支。界面新闻此前报道(销售费用大增净利润下降90% 上海家化如何迎来估值修复),如果能把2016年增加的费用和开支都缩减掉,上海家化的税前利润将回到人民币6亿-7亿元的量级。如果以200亿元的市值计算,市盈率将回到30倍上下。

8月28日,上海家化涨0.99%,报收31.61元。

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