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主题基金业绩首尾相差巨大绩优产品关注高景气度行业

2017-08-29 06:46:28   中国经济网

⊙记者 王诚诚 ○编辑 长弓

今年以来极端分化的结构性行情使得投资难度加大,表现在基金业绩上,便是基金净值的高度差异。据不完全统计,年初以来,公募基金各类主题基金业绩首尾相差接近70%,即使在同一主题基金内部,业绩表现也两极分化。

在最新出炉的基金半年报中,对于绩优基金的投资思路可以略窥一二。记者发现,虽然上半年不少基金因为踩中了低估值白马股的风口而业绩陡升,但是对于下半年的投资,这些基金已经将注意力悄然转移至优质成长股。

主题基金业绩首尾相差70%

据记者不完全统计,截至8月25日,今年以来各类公募主题基金业绩分化,首尾相差高达70%。

具体看来,各类美股互联网、沪港深、大消费基金业绩排名靠前,而“互联网+”、军工、医药等主题基金整体表现不尽如人意。

Wind数据显示,今年以来,交银中证海外互联网基金表现居首,年初至今净值上涨达47.97%;嘉实全球互联网美元现汇、东方红睿华沪港深等基金净值表现也相对靠前,分别增长44.52%、35.33%;中邮创新优势、宝盈资源优选、东方互联网嘉则表现暂时落后,年初以来净值分别下跌22.47%、21.15%及17.13%。

值得一提的是,由于今年以来港股表现优于A股,沪港深主题基金整体表现优异,在排名前20位的基金中占据绝大多数。

不过,也需要看到,由于年内A股市场个股分化较大,即便是同一主题的基金业绩差异非常悬殊,如同为“互联网+”类基金,国泰互联网++基金年初以来上涨38.60%,而同属于沪港深类基金的宝盈国家安全战略沪港深年内下跌则高达15.8%。

记者发现,无论上述基金名称为何种主题,年初以来表现较好的基金基本都是因为把握住了家电、食品饮料、消费电子、金融、周期等结构性机会。

绩优基金关注高景气度行业

针对下半年的市场机会,不少绩优基金在最新出炉的基金半年报指出,随着上述白马股估值的提升,未来获取超额收益的难度加大,而经历了两年的估值挤泡沫之后,行业高景气、未来几年成长确定的新兴行业个股值得关注。

国泰互联网+基金经理指出,展望2017年下半年,预计国内经济仍将较为平稳,货币政策维持稳健中性,同时各项改革将持续推进,市场风险偏好会有所好转。预计下半年指数或将处于区间震荡之中,存在结构性机会,具有较好成长性且估值合理的公司将有较好表现。

该基金经理认为,未来一方面看好消费升级带来的投资机会,例如高端白酒、品牌家电、保险等;另一方面,关注具备技术变革和创新领域的投资机会,例如围绕着汽车进行的电动化、智能化和电子化,以及正在蓬勃发展的人工智能、物联网等领域。此外,一些其他行业的龙头企业也具备较好的投资价值。

上投摩根核心基金经理指出,进入下半年,市场机会将大于风险,A股有望呈现结构性的投资机会。未来将继续以精选个股作为首要方向。

国泰大健康基金经理则认为,稳定增长与景气成长将是2017年的主要投资主线,上半年稳定增长行业表现出了巨大的超额收益与绝对收益,下半年的机构性行情大概率会在景气成长的行业中演绎。展望下半年,随着市场风险偏好的持续回升及资金边际改善,估值合理的真成长的行业与公司随着业绩的逐步兑现将回归合理的价值。

从投资方向上看,上述基金经理称,下半年重点配置方向是园林环保、电子、医药商业等高景气度行业。

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