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特朗普决定增兵阿富汗:美国必须继续在阿富汗进行战斗
中国国际问题研究院美国研究所所长滕建群分析,特朗普上台后把反恐作为外交政策的一个重要的支撑点,包括中东地区。“阿富汗尽管打了16年,但该地区包括塔利班势力有卷土重来的可能,如何稳定阿富汗已经成为美国和西方正在焦虑的问题。对特朗普来说反恐还承载着另外一项任务,他现在的班底,特别是执政团队中这些军人占了重头戏,这些的人主张会左右特朗普在包括在中东和在阿富汗地区的反恐作战行动,如果奥巴马继续收缩国防部,可能会影响到美国利益,更重要的会影响到美国军工集团的利益。美国特朗普的一些政策,特别是外交政策,不管是在对朝、对阿富汗、对中东,基本有军人背景,或是现役的或是退役的老将军把控,特朗普非常明白他现在需要依靠这些有军方背景的人来给他在外交上打出一片天地来。”
长达20多分钟的演讲中,虽然特朗普并未过多透露美国南亚新战略的具体细节,但他不止一次提到巴基斯坦、印度,可以看出特朗普在一定程度上打压巴基斯坦,联合印度的态度已经相当明显。滕建群指出,美国不断得在南亚地区施加影响,主要是两方面考虑。第一地缘政治上,加强与印度等的交往以期掣肘中国。第二,在南亚大量的推销军火,实现其商业利益。“从奥巴马提出来重返亚太后,南亚一直是美国经营的重点,美印之间的关系最近几年有了长足发展。另外,巴基斯坦在南亚地区权重显然不如印度那样重要了,特朗普政府一方面希望拉住巴基斯坦这个老友,同时希望打压巴基斯坦,特别是在巴基斯坦跟中国合作上,巴基斯坦是一个非常积极的伙伴。”
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