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推高本轮房价的幕后“黑手”终于调查清楚

2016-11-21 17:16:41   中国经济网

对崇尚安居乐业的中国人来说,买房子是家家户户的奋斗目标,是和未来、和梦想绑在一起的温暖目标,但房子也越来越成为买房人经济上的沉重负担。

2016年中国楼市的波澜让人印象深刻,随着各地相继“加码”楼市调控政策,国家统计局最新发布的数据显示,与10月上半月比,10月下半月新建商品住宅价格除深圳和成都2个城市继续下降外,北京、天津、上海、厦门和郑州等5个城市也由升转降,广州新建商品住宅价格环比持平。降温已成为近期房地产市场的主基调。

推高本轮房价的幕后“黑手”终于调查清楚

1然而,在追踪楼市调控新政的效果之时,人们同样追问,是什么推动了这一轮房价上涨?

红色警报:“买房杠杆高,买地杠杆更高”

如果说供需不平衡是导致热点城市房价上涨的客观原因,那么巨额资金涌入楼市则与这轮房价迅猛上涨直接相关。

“居民加杠杆购房和企业加杠杆购地是当前房地产市场过热的主要原因。”中国房地产业协会原副会长朱中一说,房地产业是资金密集型行业,去年以来一二线城市地价房价轮动上涨,与货币、信贷政策的宽松有直接关系。

从买房端看,住房信贷宽松是楼市回暖的重要原因之一。

据央行统计,今年9月末个人购房贷款余额为17.93万亿元,同比增长33.4%,显示居民购房贷款增速之快。比如,在深圳,截至9月个人购房贷款余额已超1万亿元,相比2014年底翻了一倍。

推高本轮房价的幕后“黑手”终于调查清楚1

相比“买房端”的高杠杆,更需警惕的是“买地端”的高杠杆。今年8月,刚将总部从福建迁至上海的房企融信以溢价139%,110.1亿元的总价拍下上海静安区一宗3.1万平方米的地块。而根据其中期业绩报告显示,融信今年上半年的合同销售额为132亿元。

房企凶猛拿地,巨额资金从哪里来?

“买房子起码还交首付,而有些地方的房企根本不掏自己腰包拿地,全靠从金融机构融资。”一名长期研究房地产行业的专家说。

不排除有地方政府与开发商共谋推高房价

记者从一些金融机构了解到,按规定,房企拍地应该拿自有资金。但近年融资普遍,房企配资一般都在三七开,房企自有出资占三成,配资占七成。现在一些房企连自有出资部分也从金融机构解决,房企引入银行、债券、理财产品、信托计划、资管计划、保险等资金来拍地,已成为业内潜规则。

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