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美舰入台法案是个坑!特朗普会跳吗?

2017-08-08 13:41:35   环球时报

文章原载于8月7日“中美聚焦”微信公众号

7月14日,美国众议院通过了2018财年国防授权法案,其中包含美台军舰可以互相停靠对方港口的条款。按程序,该法案还要送参院表决,若通过,两院要共同弄出一个版本,交给总统决定是否签字。若真到了这一步,奉劝特朗普总统应对法案予以否决。这不仅是为了避免中美关系发展受阻,也为了他本人免受其害。

1979年中美建交时,对台湾问题的处理,有个双方认同的废约、撤军、断交的“三原则”,即废除《美台共同防御条约》,美军全部从台湾撤走,美国同台湾断交,不再发生任何官方联系。如果这个法案不被否决,就意味着美国军事力量可以“合法”地回到台湾。这将严重违反“三原则”和中美三个联合公报,将动摇中美外交关系的基础,将两国关系拉向倒退,其危害性和严重性不言而喻。

特朗普总统当然知道,台湾问题事关中国领土主权和国家尊严,是关乎上对得起祖宗下为后代负责的大事。中国决不会拿它作交易,是无论付出多大代价也要捍卫的底线。不管哪个国家、何种势力,谁践踏这条底线,就是同中国作对。这是全体中国人民的共识。

自中美建交以来,历届美国总统都审慎地对待和处理台湾问题。1996年台海危机时,美国国防部制定的方案中,包括美国航母战斗群停靠台湾基隆港和高雄港。但克林顿总统认为,美国军舰停靠已是“军事同盟的边缘”,会刺激大陆,反而不利于台海问题的解决,还会伤及两国关系,他断然否决国防部的方案。如今,已在众院通过的法案,实际上是想让“美舰入台”方案起死复生,制造出新的台海危机,恶化中美关系。当年,克林顿总统审时度势,作出了正确的决定,很值得后任者效法。

在外人看来,众院搞出这个法案,是特朗普的反对者给他挖的陷坑,设的圏套。他们用“通俄门”捆绑特朗普的手脚,使他虽与普京惺惺相惜,却不能建立想要的个人关系,使他尽管与普京“谈得很好”,美苏两国却对立加剧。他的反对者又想诱迫他在“美舰入台”法案上签字划押,搞坏中美关系,再树立一个对手。同时跟两个大国对立,用两个拳头打人,是战略大忌,就算美国再强大,这也是难以承受之重。

有人质疑,特朗普眼下的日子不好过,他会不会经不住诱迫,向反对者妥协,用批准法案搞某种交易?照理说应该不会,不过也不好说。如果他签字批准,质疑成真,可就契合了那句形容人傻的调皮话:被人卖了,还帮人家数钱。

这么说是有根据的。特朗普就任总统半年的事实表明,他虽然入主白宫,但美国建制派等不分党派的反对者并不接受这个现实,他们千方百计给他制造麻烦,让他犯错误,时机一到就把他赶下台。事实同样证明,对反对派妥协让歩只会让他们步步紧逼,得寸进尺。以“通俄门”为例,在中国读者看来,它既不符合逻辑,又缺乏证据,“莫须有”的味道很浓。妥协退让,撤掉弗林又怎样?矛头还不是更狠地对着特朗普,还有他的女婿、儿子,一大家子人。

还有,“美舰入台”法案若闯关成功,必将助长“台独”分子的气焰,蔡英文当局会乘机无事生非,制造事端。台湾有人扬言要让美国军舰去太平岛。针对这一说法,已有中国舆论指出,若台湾当局敢走这一步,中国就直接收复太平岛,作为武力解放台湾的前哨战。特朗普总统肯定不愿看到这种局面。

中美关系目前正按照两国元首规划的兰图稳步向前推进,决不容许让一个什么“美舰入台”法案破坏这一进程。这符合中美两国人民的利益和愿望。(劳木)

责任编辑:陈倩 CN030
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