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中信银行:标普下调中国主权信用评级系对中国经济的误读
2017-09-25 16:17:52 中国经济网
9月21日,国际信用评级机构标普宣布将我国长期主权信用评级从AA-降至A+,展望调整为“稳定”。中信银行表示,标普下调中国信用评级缺乏客观依据,是基于对中国经济的误读。
中信银行认为,今年以来,中国经济延续了去年以来稳中有进、稳中向好的发展态势,呈现增长平稳、国际收支改善、物价稳定、就业向好的良好格局,经济增长的稳定性明显增强。上半年中国经济保持中高速增长,GDP同比增长6.9%,好于市场预期,连续八个季度保持在6.7%-6.9%的区间。固定资产投资同比增长8.6%,其中三个重要分类指标均有改善,新开工项目计划总投资降幅收窄,到位资金小幅增长,民间固定资产投资增速提升。消费回升较快,社会消费品零售总额同比增长10.4%,比一季度加快0.4个百分点。进出口总额同比增长19.6%,出口及进口增速分别达25.7%和15%,均好于市场预期。物价形势总体稳定,CPI保持温和上涨态势,上半年累计同比增长1.4%,涨幅连续五个月低于2%,全年无明显通胀压力。
中信银行表示,总的来看,随着供给侧结构性改革深入实施,在创新驱动发展战略加快推进的大背景下,未来中国经济运行中的积极变化还会继续增加,稳中向好的发展态势将会得到进一步巩固和扩大。在这样的形势下,标普调降中国主权信用评级是国际评级机构长期以来所持的惯性思维和对中国经济的误读。这种误读也是对中国经济良好基本面和发展潜力的忽视。
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