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利率市场小幅波动
2017-09-21 09:42:17 中国经济网
9月20日,Shibor市场七涨一跌,波动幅度有所放大。受节假日的影响,近期资金供求有趋紧态势。代表性利率的7天Shibor微涨0.10个基点至2.8690%,环比上周同期小幅上行。美国经济数据不够理想,美元指数继续低位振荡,市场预期本次美联储议息会议加息的可能性较低。人民币汇率在6.5附近振荡,升值势头暂缓。隔夜利率下跌4.20个基点至2.7900%,环比上周同期小幅上涨。14天利率微涨0.56个基点至3.7580%。1个月利率微涨0.39个基点至3.9854%,继续在“4%”附近振荡。“十一”长假即将来临,避险情绪升温,资金需求增加。中长期利率延续小幅振荡,3个月、6个月、9个月和1年期利率分别报4.3670%、4.3918%、4.3989%、4.4040%。
表为Shibor(人民币)报价
上证综指仍处于上涨通道,近期属于小幅调整阶段。从日K线走势上分析,目前大盘横盘幅度有限,可能是在以时间换空间,深调或暴涨的可能性都较小。基本面没有太大变化的情况下,市场炒作热点也在不断转变,从环保板块到新能源板块,从钢铁企业到有色金属企业等,热点不断转换。通过历史数据分析,牛市的特征是板块共振,而不是你方唱罢他登场,使得资金不断追逐热点,增加投资成本。目前基本面处于真空期,股市也需要一个调整的契机。建议投资者谨慎对待,头寸较大的可以适当套保。
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