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信心回升 市场风格切换

2017-09-07 09:07:07   新华网

周三,科技股午后快速拉升,创业板盘中也突破了1900点整数关口,创今年四月以来新高。在此背景下,虽然两市仍维持延续多日的净流出态势,但从尾盘个别板块资金的净流入情况来看,新的市场风格似乎已初见“雏形”。

资金入场信心回升

昨日两市成交量仍较前一交易日出现微幅放大,说明场外资金介入市场的意愿并未减弱。从资金流入方面变动来看,昨日虽是两市资金连续第七个交易日呈现出净流出态势,但值得注意的是,相较上周二两市212.04亿元的全天净流出额,昨日两市的净流出额已降至155.49亿元。表明了对后市的悲观预期已出现一定程度的好转。

细分来看,板块间分化的趋势更为明显。据Wind数据显示,昨日开盘,无论是沪深300、中小板还是创业板资金流出趋势都较前一交易日出现加剧的趋势。但昨日尾盘,两市资金净流入态势已得到逆转,再次出现了尾盘资金的净流入。通过对两市尾盘资金的流向来看,资金当前对中小市值的板块已明显表现出更大的“兴趣”,但在沪深300方面,资金依然呈现出净流出的态势。

分析人士表示,从昨日尾盘流入的资金来看,其明显对中小板和创业板更为“青睐”,而昨日成交量的微幅放大或也与存量资金在板块间的切换相关。因而,从盘面上越发强化的“沪弱深强”的格局来看,新的市场风格已现“雏形”。

国信证券表示,总的来看,近期市场整体上涨,但运行已出现了一丝变化。虽然上证50指数为主的大盘权重股及相关板块仍是两市维持强势的主导力量,但创业板在上涨幅度方面大有后来居上的趋势。由于两融资金的增加,成交量较前也有所放大,此外,存量资金在热点间也出现了不断切换。

热点切换“频繁”

周三,多数行业板块“飘红”。通过观察,资金当前流向已不再局限于此前蓝筹集中的几个板块,有加仓中小创的趋势。而从盘面来看,市场中“权重搭台,热点轮动”的格局已逐渐清晰。

从资金在行业方面的流入情况上看,昨日,28个申万一级行业中,仅有4个行业实现净流入,分别是钢铁、化工、国防军工和电子,净流入额也分别为2.21亿元、9873.96万元、5745.64万元和63.46万元。其余24个板块均不同程度地呈现出资金净流出态势。

在个股的资金流入情况方面,在流入规模居前的10只个股中,除中国中冶、洛阳钼业、皇马科技和秦港股份4只沪市标的外其余6只均为深市标的。而在流出规模居前的个股中赣锋锂业、科大讯飞、中国平安等前期资金“热捧”个股的出现,也从另一个侧面反映出当前市场令人“眼花缭乱”的热点切换速度。

针对后市,中金公司表示,受益于当前稳步提升的风险偏好环境,成交也有明显回暖。更多类型的投资者开始逐渐增加持仓参与当前行情,这从融资余额近期持续向上的走势也可得到一定印证。用以衡量市场资金聚集程度的成交分化度指标本周小幅反弹,季节调整后的相对值整体仍处在适中位置。综合来看,上证综指短期或因为资金在板块间的腾挪而出现一定波动,但中期日线级别上涨仍无明显结束迹象,投资者对行情的延续性仍无须过早担忧,建议投资者继续持股为上。

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