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深挖民生银行2017年糟糕中报:未来还能更坏吗?

2017-09-06 09:12:07   中国经济网

来源:公众号“新浪金融”

文 | 新浪财经 徐巧

“糟糕的中报,未来还会更坏吗?”一位老股民在看完民生银行中报后发出感慨。无论是规模指标还是盈利能力,民生银行交出的年中成绩都让人失望。

2017 年上半年监管趋严,风格向来激进的民生不得不主动“缩表”,营收与利润相关指标也出现下跌。小微业务作为昔日核心战略在经历三年收缩后又现抬头趋势,但能 否再为民生破局仍是未知。更令投资者关心的是,安邦作为第一大股东,自身前景尚不明朗,后续又会对民生产生何种影响?

兴业、浦发穷追猛赶 民生赶超招行雄心安在?

在商业银行的第二梯队中,虽然招商银行一直是领头羊,民生银行却一度有赶超之势。但近几年,一方面,招商银行保持稳中求升;另一方面,兴业、浦发、中信等股份制银行也发展迅猛,不甘落后。

在经历了去年总资产凶猛增长30.42%后,民生今年显然放慢了扩张的步伐。

截至2017年6月30日,民生银行总资产规模5.77万亿元,较上年末下降2.18%,总负债5.39万亿元,较上年末下降2.73%。对此,民生银行在半年报中解释称,此举为在M2增速下降、市场环境日趋复杂的情况下审时度势主动调整资产结构的结果。

2016年逾30%的高增长主要源于同业方面的扩张,但今年,受强监管环境的制约,民生银行在资产端大幅压缩同业与投资类资产,以投放贷款为主。中报显示,民生银行同业资产同比锐减51%,贷款同比增长18.9%。

与此形成鲜明对比的是,兴业银行最近三年一直保持稳定增速,2017年上半年总资产达6.38万亿元,甚至超过招商银行,位居上述5家股份制银行之首。

盈利能力下降是另一个让投资者失望的地方。

2017 年上半年,民生银行营业收入为704亿元,同比下降9.51%;营业利润与利润总额分别为342亿元、344亿元,同比下跌2.79%、2.07%。但在 三年前,2014年结束时民生银行还以1354.69亿元紧追招商银行的1658.63亿元,兴业、中信、浦发则在1200亿元梯队激烈厮杀。今年上半年 结束后,仅剩招商银行一家仍稳守在在营收千亿元阵营,浦发以833亿元次之,民生则以705亿元位列第四名。

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