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流动性风险管理新规即将施行 货币基金收益将下行?

2017-09-06 08:07:07   中国经济网

疯狂扩张的货币基金,被监管层踩了一脚“急刹车”!监管层于9月1日正式发布的《公开募集开放式证券投资基金流动性风险管理规定》(以下简称“《风管新规》”)将自10月1日起施行。与投资者息息相关的货基收益率,会受到什么样的影响呢?

准备金 将成货基规模天花板

《风管新规》要求,同一管理人所管理的采用摊余成本法进行核算的货币基金,月末资产净值合计不超过风险准备金月末余额的200倍。

《风管新规》将成货基规模的“天花板”。业内人士表示,根据《风管新规》,基金公司所能管理的货基规模将受限于公司风险准备金账户的余额。例如,基金公司的风险准备金账户月末余额为1亿元,其发行的货基规模最多可达200亿元。目前公募基金风险准备金的计提比例为管理费的10%,如果货基规模超过200亿元,计提的风险准备金将提升至20%以上。

中金公司的研报指出,《风管新规》施行后,货基将告别高速扩张时代。基金业协会最新数据显示,截至2017年7月底,货基总规模已达5.86万亿元,环比6月底大增7516.87亿元,已实现连续六个月的净增长。

一方面是货基规模猛增,另一方面却是银行活期存款快速减少。央行发布的7月份人民币信贷收支表显示,在过去半年里,个人活期存款和流通现金合计大幅减少3万多亿元。

余额宝 两度下调个人持有额度

天弘基金目前拥有规模最大的货币基金余额宝,无疑成为《风管新规》出台后的众矢之的。余额宝的规模在今年4月突破万亿大关后,6月底再次刷新规模记录,资产净值增至1.43万亿元,比去年年底的8千亿元激增近80%,环比2017年一季度末的1.14万亿元增加近3000亿元。

“新规出台有利于基金管理人进一步完善流动性风险管控机制、强化自我风险管控能力;亦将有利于行业健康发展,有利于保护投资者权益。”天弘基金有关负责人表示,“天弘基金将一如既往地把流动性管理放在最首要的位置。”

今年以来,天弘基金已连续两次下调余额宝的投资额度限制。5月27日,余额宝将个人交易账户持有额度由100万元下调为25万元;8月14日,进一步下调为10万元。业内人士认为,余额宝的定位是小额现金管理工具,此次调整对余额宝的大部分用户不会造成影响。

济安金信基金评价中心主任王群航认为,此次《风管新规》有很多量化标准,可操作性很强。对余额宝应该特事特办,余额宝既是规模最大的货基,也是户均规模最小的货基。截至2017年6月30日,其户均规模仅为3885.14元。

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