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维持高仓位运作 机构三方向布局后市

2017-08-29 09:36:08   新华网

指数向上突破后,未来A股会如何演绎?主力机构又将如何操作?从记者近期对沪深多家公私募基金的调研情况看,从7月份开始,部分公私募基金就维持高仓位运行,有的甚至已满仓布局。

在机构看来,经济数据持续向好让市场对金融行业信心大增,推动市场中枢持续上行,进而带动投资者风险偏好提升,并吸引资金逐步进场。

从记者调研情况看,进入三季度以来,机构仓位就开始缓慢提升,不少机构目前已经满仓运行。

好买基金研究中心数据显示,截至上周末,偏股型基金整体仓位是58.48%,其中股票型整体仓位为88.97%,混合型基金整体仓位为53.36%。从仓位情况看,当前仓位总体处于历史中高位水平。

深圳某公募投资总监表示,近期持续满仓运行,尽管管理的产品规模有十几亿元,但账面上1000万现金都没有:“近期大多处于净申购状态,除非赎回量较多,才会卖出部分股票。”

深圳某私募基金经理表示,近期一直持有低估值的银行保险板块,在他看来,经济数据向好,供给侧推进得力,周期品价格上行,使部分国有企业利润大增,此前市场对银行坏账的担忧不复存在。即使满仓持有也无需过度担心。

沪上某操作非常谨慎的私募基金经理透露,上周已把仓位从五成提升到七成左右。在他看来,金融地产表现抢眼,上游周期行业公司盈利惊人,不少前期超跌的成长股,业绩表现也大多超出市场预期。

从次新基金仓位情况看,不少前期空仓的基金近期开始迅速建仓,不少新基金仓位已经接近满仓运行。通过比较市场变化和基金净值变化,可以发现不少基金仓位已经较高。Choice资讯统计数据显示,二季度以来成立的182只偏股基金中,有67只涨跌幅超过2%,其中涨跌幅超过3%的有47只,更有17只基金总回报超过8%。表明上述基金已经以较高仓位运行。

从8月份成立的多只基金净值变化情况看,截至8月25日,8月10日成立的汇安丰益混合A基金回报为2.85%,8月9日成立的诺德新享混合基金总回报为1.95%;成立于8月9日的长安鑫垚主题混合基金总回报为1.67%。这些数据显示,这些基金成立后就迅速建仓了。

据记者了解,后市机构布局主要集中在三大方向:

首先是大金融板块,尤其是大型国有银行及保险股。机构认为,在经济数据向好的情况下,银行保险有稳定的基本面支撑,由于前期买入该板块的投资者多为长期价值投资者,主要基于公司价值,不会频繁买进卖出。在基本面向好的情况下,金融板块有望震荡向上。

其次是估值和盈利增速相对匹配的成长股。机构称,制造业的发展水平是对国家综合国力评价的重要因素之一,智能制造必将引领中国制造业的二次腾飞。行业布局方面,具有持续成长能力、估值合理的优质高端制造龙头公司超额收益机会更多。新能源汽车、LED、智能手机产业链、重卡等高端制造行业值得重点关注。

在深圳某私募基金经理看来,A股成长板块龙头公司的强势化特征也会日趋明显,未来创蓝筹公司注定会成为市场中的一大亮点。

第三是国企改革领域。 在沪上某公募基金投资总监看来,作为重大战略性主题机会,部分国企混改引入了BAT等互联网巨头,将会给国有企业在激励制度、经营思路、技术支撑等多方面带来创新思维,有望激活国有企业的沉淀资源。(记者 赵明超)

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