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盘前:市场高位整固 中线行情或已经到来
2017-09-01 10:05:57 中国经济网
中国经济网北京9月1日讯 昨日受银行、保险及消费板块整体回调拖累,沪深两市主要股指早盘持续震荡下行,沪指一度失守5日均线。午后,次新板块和资源周期股的活跃一定程度上激活了市场人气,带动主要股指企稳回升。整体来看,上证综指全天继续围绕3350点窄幅波动,深证成指尾盘顺利翻红,创业板指数则领涨三大股指。
机构观点
方正证券:近期,人民币兑美元涨势如虹,中间价创一年多来新高,离在岸汇率突破6.60:1关口,皆创去年6月来新高,美元指数本周盘中一度失守92关口。除地缘政治因素外,美联储官员近期鸽派言论,让市场降低美联储今年再加息预期,美国自然灾害又雪上加霜,引发市场对美国经济担忧,特朗普的改革方案推进步履蹒跚,美国处于多事之秋,尽管美元短线超跌反弹,但短期内难大幅走强。人民币汇率稳定运行概率大,有助于国内资产价格提升,有利于A股市场震荡盘升。随着月末财政存款投放力度加大,昨各期Shibor利率全线回落,隔夜利率大幅回落9.27个BP,持续近一个月的资金偏紧态势缓解,短线干扰因素解除。内外不确定性因素基本确定,大盘平台突破的有效性得到确认。昨大盘通过盘中“V”型走势,完成盘中洗盘,缺口未补,强势特征明显,大盘后市运行斜率提升。市场热情被点燃,主题投资将方兴未艾。轻指数、重个股,逢低关注国改、互联网、券商、高端装备制造及底部右侧放量股,回避股价高高在上股。
中信证券:受获利盘有兑现的需求,市场连续两日高位整固,而量能多日持续在5000亿以上,表明做多意愿明显,加之国企改革等热点持续发酵,在宏观经济数据良好的背景下,随着外资的不断流入,对市场不必过度担心。操作上,建议投资者在控制好仓位的情况下,重点关注真价值、真成长及有业绩支撑的低估值大蓝筹,短线不宜追涨。
广州万隆:次新股持续爆棚的赚钱效应对市场人气有巨大提振这是必然的,只不过越到后期这种连续大涨暗含的风险也会同步急剧上升,因为谁也不知道趋势拐点会在什么时候突然降临。所以在享受兑短线博弈带来的超额收益的同时,投资者对于风险的意识也不可完全抛诸脑后,而9月的新主线可能也会随着次新股这一波高潮过后开始浮出水面。总体而言,市场近期人气和赚钱效应相比之前明显跨上了一个新的台阶,这一点部分投资者从账户表现上应该可以得到深刻体会,所以指数突破3300并不只是只有象征性意义,更重要的是一轮中线行情正在有条不紊的朝我们走来,紧随趋势不轻易下车是投资者眼下最需要注意的。
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