新闻
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China

供给侧改革推动商品供需寻求新平衡

2017-08-22 09:12:00   中国经济网

潮涨潮落中,供给侧改革下的供需关系再平衡正影响着商品价格的走势。

8月21日,文华商品指数最高达到161.59点,最终收于160.87点,再度刷新半年新高,当日涨幅为1.22%。

资金仍在扎堆商品

资金仍在扎堆商品。根据文华财经统计显示,8月21日,42.99亿元新资金流入商品期货,文华商品共沉淀资金为1175.94亿元。其中,有26.7亿元新资金涌入黑链指数(焦炭、焦煤、铁矿、螺纹),该板块共沉淀资金376.2亿元。有色板块则净流入8.6亿元新资金。从单个商品看,铁矿指数昨日吸引15.2亿元新资金入场,位居商品净流入排行榜首位。

商品为何如此“任性”?

在中大期货副总经理景川看来,目前,商品市场的主线是供给侧改革下的供需关系。一系列商品的现货升水表明,期货市场仅仅是跟随者而非推动者。

“在价格平衡中,供给的减少是价格寻找新平衡中构成其上升趋势的主动力。而在价格连续上升之后,市场又有修复和调整的需求。但在新的平衡出现之前,商品仍将保持交易重心不断上移的态势。”景川对上证报记者说。

的确,2017年是供给侧结构性改革的深化之年。钢铁、煤炭等行业的去产能工作正在深入推进中。钢铁方面,截至目前,全行业表内外去产能总量已超过2亿吨。煤炭方面,来自中国煤炭工业协会发布的数据显示,截至7月底,今年煤炭行业共退出煤炭产能1.28亿吨,完成年度目标任务量的85%。加上去年的2.9亿吨,累计退出煤炭产能超过4亿吨,占“十三五”8亿吨目标任务的52%。

与此同时,化工、造纸、玻璃(1458, 10.00, 0.69%)、有色等很多行业均在积极推动供给侧改革。

“钢市回暖,钢价上涨,这是大势所趋。”生意社钢铁分社何杭生也对记者表示,在供给侧改革下,在经济稳中向上的大环境中,经历了近5年的低迷周期的钢市本身存在复苏需求。

多因素支撑铁矿石价格

商品此轮涨势除了与去产能背景下的供应偏紧预期有关,还与铁矿石等原料价格上涨有关。

据生意社监测显示,铁矿石现货价格自下半年以来,涨幅高达27%。截至8月21日,62%澳洲PB粉矿港口均价突破600元/湿吨至614元/湿吨,创下近四个月来新高,单日涨幅2.05%。

其实,铁矿石一直是高库存压港。对于其背后的涨价逻辑,受访的行业人士也给出了说法。

何杭生表示,在去产能与环保政策升级背景下,当前钢厂运营状态呈现分化。环保不达标企业不得不停产,而环保达标企业则加大马力生产。数据显示,截至8月18日当周,河北地区72家样本钢厂的高炉开工率在81.27%,创下近4个月以来的新高。但是全国163家样本钢厂的高炉开工率却降至77.35%,创下当月次新低。随着钢厂加大马力生产,原料需求旺盛,促使铁矿石等原料价格大幅上涨。

国信期货分析师徐超也认为,铁矿石港口库存连续下降,高品位矿供应偏紧,钢厂需求较旺盛,诸多因素都在支撑矿价上行。不过,从中长期来看,铁矿石港口库存量仍处历史高位水平,矿价上涨承压。

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China

相关阅读

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
分享到:
0 0
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China

美图推荐

404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China

为您推荐

加载更多>>
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China
404 Not Found

404 Not Found

Sorry for the inconvenience.
Please report this message and include the following information to us.
Thank you very much!

URL: http://3g.china.com:8080/act/news/11038989/20170822/31150289.html
Server: cms-8-251
Date: 2024/06/17 08:28:43

Powered by China
China