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吃下万达酒店资产 富力债务风险增加几何

2017-08-07 09:32:34   中国经济网

在业绩发力的同时,这家华南地产大佬近期刚刚完成了一件大事:以199.06亿元接手万达旗下的77家酒店资产,沉寂已久的富力摇身一变以全球酒店业巨头身份再次出发。

不过完成了史上最大并购后,市场对富力的诸多疑问也被放大,其中财务状况被反复“追击”。

根据公开数据,2014年-2016年,富力的资产负债率分别为69.68%、73.23%、79.32%,呈逐年上升的势头。截至2017年3月底,富力集团合并资产总额2325.04亿元,负债合计1853.68亿元,资产负债率为79.73%。

经营性现金流吃紧

有意思的是,尽管花了近200亿来吃下万达酒店业务,但在7月20日,富力地产的董秘胡杰却表示,上半年富力完成400亿元收入,公司自有资金很充足,可以覆盖收购,不会带来现金压力。

然而,从记者以往对它的情况分析来看,实际并不那么乐观。

从2012年到2016年,富力地产的营业收入从303.65亿元上涨到537.3亿元,复合增长率约为15.33%。对比经营性现金流,富力在2012年到2016年的经营性现金流分别为-24.64亿元、-118.62亿元、-220.65亿元、-3.56亿元、 -33.38亿元,并没有因收入的增长有所改善。

由此推断,即使富力在2017上半年的收入达到400亿元,比2016年同期相比增幅78.66%,但其上半年的经营性现金流依然可能为负,靠自有资金覆盖收购的难度很大。

“富力的收入肯定不能覆盖收购,因为收入还包含了成本,不是净收入,因此只能说拿部分净现金流去承担此次收购支出,同时必然需要新的融资才够满足收购的分期付款。”香颂资本执行董事沈萌对《国际金融报》记者如是说。

另外,除了支付万达77家酒店的200亿元,富力地产自身用于物业发展的资金缺口也是十分巨大。

“一般来说,持续出现经营活动现金流为负,这和企业不断追加投资是有关的。”一位地产行业资深人士向《国际金融报》记者表示,对于富力来说,这几年持续通过购地等来实现规模的扩张,所以在现金流方面也会得到相应的体现。

该人士进一步指出,从销售规模来看,富力总体稳健发展,不过后续要警惕类似行业调整所带来的风险,比如项目销售回笼资金的压力会增加等,这都会影响富力地产后续并购项目的各类资金的追加投资。

未改善负债率

胡杰表示,收购万达酒店资产将改善富力资产负债率水平。在收购万达酒店之后,富力地产的资产负债率将降至74.9%-75%。

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