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中石油重整“昆仑系” 独占七成国内天然气市场

2016-01-10 08:49:15   中国经营报

昆仑燃气与昆仑能源此次整合最终水落石出,以昆仑能源为核心的中石油天然气上下游一体化的战略开始显露雏形。

“中石油此次重新整合旨在精简机构,优化资源,促进降低企业各类成本、提高运营效率,从而进一步完善中石油天然气版图,提高企业竞争实力。”金银岛分析师梁津告诉记者。

避免同质竞争

8月份,记者从多个信源获知,中石油昆仑系公司正在加速收缩,当时就曾预期昆仑能源、昆仑利用及昆仑燃气将在近期合而为一,不料在2015年年末终于由昆仑能源一统中石油天然气业务。

作为中石油旗下两大发展天然气下游业务的主要平台,昆仑燃气和昆仑能源在天然气终端销售业务上存在一定竞争关系。此次双方资产整合呼应了市场此前的预期。“天然气作为一种燃料能源,LNG、CNG只是其存在形式不同。两公司合并形成真正意义上的中下游一体化公司,有利于下游集中开发。资源的合理利用,也有利于提高企业竞争力、提高经营效率。”中宇资讯分析师孙阳对记者表示。

对中石油来说,收购完成后,未来公司的天然气业务将在昆仑能源一个平台上开展,避免内部竞争带来的资源浪费;同时可以带来出售资产的一次性收益。而对昆仑能源来说,通过收购,将获得更多的下游客户,业务分布更广,资产规模、收入及利润等将得到提升。

“当下市场很不景气,且中石油昆仑系三大公司业务重叠交叉严重。”广东油气商会信息部部长姚达明认为,在经历市场寒冬和腐败高发之后的中石油昆仑系重整布局在意料之中。

记者查阅相关财报发现,昆仑燃气2014年售气量为84亿立方米,而昆仑能源为68亿立方米,完成收购后可提升售气量123%。

而据瑞信集团预测,昆仑能源并购昆仑燃气,可以为昆仑能源2015年业绩带来约28%额外盈利,以及124%配气量。瑞信还上调了昆仑能源2016年及2017年每股盈利预测23%及13%,并维持“中性”评级。

对于合并造成的行业影响,梁津分析认为,整合后更能发挥其天然气上下游一体的协同效应,尤其下游燃气公司成本优势凸显,可能会挤压部分民营企业的生存空间。不过目前的天然气下游市场划分相对明确,地方燃气企业先入为主,估计其受到的冲击有限。“两个单位都是港股企业,后期对股市或产生影响。”梁津说。

据了解,为拓展天然气市场,2008年开始,中石油曾相继组建了三个“昆仑”:昆仑能源、昆仑利用、昆仑燃气,分别负责公司的LNG业务、CNG业务、城市燃气业务。三者的主要业务各有差别,但为了更快发展,三者并未局限于本身业务,而是与另外两块业务形成了交叉发展。

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