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流动性监管趋严 公募“抱团”投资模式戴上紧箍咒

2017-09-18 06:56:38   中国经济网

对此,其中一家基金公司人士对中国证券报记者表示,为避免对市场造成短期影响,监管部门对涉及基金管理人需进行投资调整的事项均给予了6个月的过渡期。公司投资团队此前因看好相关个股的表现,持股比例较高。为满足监管要求,公司会在过渡期内进行一定的减持。

相关公司股价影响料有限

对于上述所涉及的相关个股,投资者也担忧,如果基金被强制减持,会不会对股价构成冲击。

对此,好买基金研究中心研究总监曾令华表示,仅一只个股可能会受到比较大的影响。从超出15%比例限制的9只个股来看,绝大多数个股超限幅度不高,超过上市公司可流通股票20%的个股仅有一只,即宣亚国际,中邮基金旗下基金持股占其流通股的比例为30.72%。目前该股票停牌中,根据4月18日中邮基金公告,已经采用“指数收益法”予以估值。

凯石金融产品研究中心首席分析师桑柳玉也表示,对于个股股价不会有很大的影响。《管理规定》虽然近期才正式公布,但是征求意见稿早前就已经公布。对比2016年四季报和2017年二季报的抱团股情况,可以看到单家基金公司对单只个股的抱团程度有所下降,说明基金公司对于流动性新规并非毫无准备,很可能已在逐渐慢慢地减仓中。

财汇金融大数据终端显示,一些基金公司今年以来已适度减持了一些重仓个股,比如耐威科技,去年四季度末,中邮旗下9只基金共计持有1677.28万股,占流通股本比例为23.63%。今年多只基金均已经作了一定的减持,因此今年中报数据中,这一比例已下降至17.65%。而从耐威科技的股价看,年初至今的跌幅达到23.80%。

桑柳玉进一步表示,宣亚国际处于停牌中,复牌之后价格可能会有比较大的波动。而观察其他8只个股9月份以来的走势,并未出现异常于市场的急跌。总体来说,基金公司大概率是采取逐渐少量减仓的方式应对流动性新规,因为急促减仓对其旗下基金产品的业绩也会有较大的负面影响。数据显示,截至9月15日,上述8只个股中,9月以来涨跌各半。

不过,在《管理规定》实施之后,市场人士普遍认为,中小盘股的表现会受到一定程度的影响,因为这些个股被集中投资的概率较高。对此,财富证券分析师皮辉娟表示,中小盘的超额收益或将受到影响。中小盘流通股股本较低,因此基金公司集中持股成本较低。然而在市场行情下降时期,也正是这部分高集中度持股难以出售,存在较大的流动性风险。新规的落地也是对这些集中重仓中小盘的基金公司进行限制,使得市场投资趋于合理化。

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