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估值新政或致定增净值减少3% 财通基金率先公告适用

2017-09-07 07:46:45   中国经济网

他进一步分析指出,不同于上证50ETF期权采用的欧式期权(行权价格已知),亚式期权的行权价格是未来一段时间的均价。在亚式期权中,过往一段时间内股价波动率越高,流通受限股估值折扣越大。例如,同样是100元买的银行类定增股和创业板定增股,银行股由于波动低,或许估值是90元,而创业板股的估值会低于90元。此外,亚式期权也会考虑到股票预期年化股利收益率,年化股利收益率越高,估值折扣越低,但考虑到A股市场股利收益率普遍偏低,按照新的估值模型,实际上影响最大的还是剩余年限和预期年化波动率两个因素。

估值新规对定增基金将产生何种影响?北京一位定增基金经理称,根据该公司此前测算,定增基金净值普遍在现有的基础上再减少1%~3%。

不过,上述基金公司金融工程研究员认为,对比老的估值指引,新的估值指引影响不一。“仍以银行股为例,若是目前市价高于定增价格,老的估值指引会按照定增价格计算估值,在市价基础上打折;而按照新的估值指引,银行股波动率低,估值相对原来价格可能会上调。”

尽管《指引》规定,基金管理人须在今年年底前完成估值切换,但基金行业人士普遍表示,为了避免预期基金净值高估,导致部分持有人先行赎回的不利影响,今年迎来开放期的定增基金或在开放申赎之前会先完成估值切换。

财通基金率先公告将适用新规

作为市场上最大的定增投资者,财通基金已率先发布公告称,将适用新的估值办法,对旗下相关基金对应持仓标的估值方法进行调整,调整当日可能会对基金净值产生一定影响,进而对投资者申购、赎回权益产生影响。

财通基金表示, 公司以往折扣安全垫的投资策略与新估值方法在理念上多处暗合,预计影响不大,对于旗下基金持仓标的估值影响有涨有跌、总体方向不确定,也会随着时间的推移而发生变化。“新的估值方式充分考虑了流通受限股票的历史波动率因素和限售因素。归根究底,此次估值新政并不影响我们对标的本身投资价值的判断,只是影响了限售期间的估值水平,随着投资标的到期解禁,估值与实际投资价值差异将会消失,请大家切勿混淆、更不必恐慌。”

财通基金表示, 从长远来看,新的估值方式在引导和促进长期价值投资、保障资本市场稳定等方面将起到积极深远的作用。

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