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轮胎涨价行情有望持续

2017-09-05 07:52:02   中国经济网

“在影响价格的多因素中,行业整合淘汰的程度是非常重要的,我们认为目前轮胎行业的洗牌已经进入了关键时期。”青岛双星董事会秘书刘兵介绍,下半年以来,规模以上轮胎企业的话语权和议价能力增强,主要来自于两方面原因。一是全国金融工作会议以来,银行调节贷款结构,部分运行效率差的企业无法获得进一步资金支持,客观上实现了轮胎企业去产能的效果。二是环保核查力度不断加强的压力下,许多无力投入环保设施的中小企业被迫关停,轮胎行业整体产能减少。

“以除异味装置为例,根据不同规模厂区投入和运营成本在千万元以上,小企业根本上不起,”孙松涛表示,在环保压力下不少企业限产停产,市场供需结构正在发生变化,8月份行业平均产能利用率仅为60%。

卓创咨询分析师表示,8月底山东大王地区被环保督查小组再度严查,强制要求部分轮胎企业减/停产四天左右,对次周开工形成一定的拖累,预计次周轮胎开工将在本周基础上小幅下滑。此前在涨价潮中略显低调的品牌轮胎调涨情绪将有所提升,预计次月国内轮胎企业将呈现普涨态势。

接受中国证券报记者采访的相关企业负责人均表示,随着轮胎行业的内外部环境的积极变化,行业洗牌进一步深化,规模企业转嫁原材料成本涨价的能力已经有所提升,天然橡胶价格上涨对业绩影响不大,下半年盈利情况将有所好转。

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