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供应紧平衡持续 钢煤市场迎“金九”

2017-09-05 07:06:41   中国经济网

■本报记者 左永刚

进入9月份,在供给侧结构性改革取得显著成效的背景下,钢铁、煤炭以及铁矿石等大宗商品供应紧平衡局面将进一步显现,其中钢市“金九”已来临。

9月4日,国内期货市场大宗商品走势延续,截至下午收盘,螺纹钢涨1.68%、铁矿石跌2.08%、热卷涨3.25%、焦煤跌3.16%、焦炭跌3.22%、沪铜涨0.82%。

“热卷期货涨势将提振场内操盘信心。”金联创一位钢铁行业分析师向《证券日报》记者表示,现货方面,钢市翘首以盼终于迎来了销售旺季,8月份市场冲高盘整,“金九”已经开局,热卷期货涨停再次助燃市场,现货市场整体涨势强劲。

“在环保限产消息影响下,钢企控制生产量,市场新货补充情况一般,整体库存增加压力不大。随着销售旺季逐渐来临,预计现货市场或维持偏强震荡运行。”上述分析师称。

卓创资讯分析师王俊彩分析称,当前,钢铁行业去产能取得显著成绩,首先,钢材供需关系得到明显改善,产能利用率提升;其次,市场秩序重新回归,通过强化环保指标、取缔“地条钢”等手段和行动,市场竞争环境越来越公平;第三,供需关系和市场秩序回归正常后,最直观的体现就是钢材价格的上涨,钢铁行业与下游议价能力提升,钢铁企业由亏损转向盈利,并且获利能力得到明显改观。

煤炭方面,9月4日,国内期货市场,焦煤主力合约终盘收于1396元/吨,下跌45.5元/吨,跌幅为3.16%。

虽然出现下跌,但业内人士普遍预计,焦煤现货市场仍将保持偏强运行态势,产地煤矿安全大检查及停产检修等因素的影响,焦煤资源供应整体偏紧,而下游需求相对强势,因此9月份焦煤价格普涨趋势明显。

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