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中期结构行情已明确

2017-09-04 07:21:07   中国经济网

上周大事回顾:

1、9月1日,央行公布8月份货币政策工具使用情况,央行通过SLF、MLF和PSL共计向金融机构释放流动性4682.4亿元。

2、统计数据显示,两市3316家上市A股今年上半年合计实现营业总收入181167.83亿元,同比2016年中期增长21.89%;合计收获归母净利润16702.65亿元,同比增长17.9%,创出自2012年以来中期业绩同比增速最佳水平。

3、统计数据显示,截至8月28日,沪深两市3343只股票中,有2672只个股的股权质押比例在0.01%至30%之间,有581只个股的股权质押比例超过30%,90只个股股权质押比例低于0.01%。其中,有300只个股质押比例超过40%,117只个股的质押比例超过50%,41只个股的质押比例超过60%。茂业商业、美锦能源等9只个股的质押比例甚至超过70%。

本周机构研判

上周五,两市股指小幅高开后,上证综指再度冲高,最高涨至3381.93点,创出本轮反弹新高,午后有所回落。创业板指在指标股集体拉升的推动下,午后发力上涨。盘面上,钢铁、煤炭、稀土永磁等板块涨幅居前;共享单车、机场航运、福建自贸区等板块跌幅居前。

宁波海顺:上周后四天,上证综指连续收出十字星,收盘价持续保持在周一实体阳线的上方,主要是为了消化股灾2.0时留下的套牢盘,预计本周将大概率向上突破。上周五,三大指数均明显放量,显示有越来越多的资金开始跑步进场。

源达投顾:上周五,沪深两市股指走势背离,说明场内资金及热点仍存在跷跷板效应。但随着宏观经济的平稳运行和外资持续流入,量能有放大趋势,短期走势仍将良好。

中证投资:沪深股市连续在高位整固,量能多日持续在5000亿元以上,表明做多意愿明显。同时,国企改革、煤炭、钢铁等热点持续发酵,随着外部资金的不断流入,对短期A股市场不必过度担心。

中信证券:短期走势多变数,但中期结构行情已明确。供给侧结构性改革作为引领“十三五”的核心政策逻辑,“结构性”三字非常关键,未来龙头企业、国企或将持续受益。同时,经济短周期风险的下降和经济L底的确立,也为金融机构资产质量的修复提供了系统性机会。因此,抓住供给侧改革这个大逻辑,筛选一些有前景的行业和主题,择机布局龙头股,或是更靠谱的操作途径。

南京证券:大盘在突破3300点后连收四根高位十字星,显示3300点并没能有效突破,量能放大,但指数滞涨,表明主力借突破之机逢高出局的迹象明显。因此,预计本周大盘陷入调整的概率偏大,投资者可逢高减仓,关注3250点至3300点的支撑力度。

红塔证券:A股市场板块轮动的格局并没有改变,蓝筹股与题材股保持着“你方唱罢我登场”的轮动局面。但投资者要注意的是,支撑上证综指上涨的主力银行股已经走弱,一旦资源股回调后没有新的热点及时跟进,大盘则会陷入调整。

北京晨报记者 王莉

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