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北美自贸协定开启首轮谈判
2017-08-18 14:16:45 中国经济网
分析人士预计,三方在美国贸易逆差、争端解决机制、原产地规则等问题上分歧将较为严重。美国智库彼得森国际经济研究所资深研究员兼名誉所长弗雷德·伯格斯滕说:“首轮谈判可能非常激烈。” 该研究所高级研究员杰弗里·肖特说:“很多问题将摆到谈判桌上,并且下一轮谈论中很可能还会加入更多。”
联合国拉加经委会执行秘书阿莉西亚·巴尔塞纳15日表示,墨西哥在北美自贸协定重谈过程中应“立场坚定”,坚持北美地区一体化,反对贸易保护主义措施。她认为,如果北美自贸协定重谈不能取得成果,美国可能会比墨西哥损失更多。
特朗普之前曾表示,如果不能达成期望中的协议,将会终止北美自由贸易协定。美国谈判代表一直强调,将会采取措施减少美国对墨加两国的贸易逆差。据法新社报道,1993年美国与墨西哥之间的贸易顺差为17亿美元,2016年美墨之间的贸易逆差达到556亿美元;但在此期间,美国和加墨两国之间的贸易额却增长至之前的三倍多,去年达到1.2万亿美元,美国的出口行业创造了大量就业。
瓜哈尔多表示,在北美自由贸易协定框架下建立起来的地区供应链帮助增强了美加墨三国对于其他地区的竞争力。瓜哈尔多说,墨西哥是解决方案的一部分,而非问题的一部分;如果没有北美地区贸易一体化,美国目前所抱怨的失业问题将会更加严重。
由于墨西哥和美国明年将分别举行总统选举和国会中期选举,因此此前美国和墨西哥均表示希望在明年年初之前完成谈判,预计共需7至9轮谈判。不过,观察人士普遍对能否实现这一目标表示怀疑。本轮谈判将持续到20日,下一轮谈判计划于9月5日在墨西哥举行。
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