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新能源汽车产业链火热 关注两大领域投资机会

2017-08-02 10:38:53   中国经济网

中恒电气(002364) 再次中标国网充电桩订单

长城国瑞证券分析师潘永乐指出,中恒电气今年再次中标国网订单,充电桩业务竞争力逐渐显现。在今年国网首批充电桩招标公司再次中标11MW订单,依旧是国网体系之外中标量最大的公司。2016年,公司充电桩业务实现营收约2亿元,毛利率维持在50%左右,预计随着国网充电桩继续招标以及充电桩建设的推进,公司今年充电桩业务仍将有望取得增长。

和顺电气(300141) 充电桩优势地位保障业绩增长

公司被认为是充电桩领域全国进入早、使用广、具备较大行业影响力的企业之一。华安证券分析师吴海滨表示,和顺电气公司在充电桩业务上坚持直流为主、交流为辅的经营思路,尤其在直流、大功率快充领域保持自身的竞争优势。在新能源汽车补贴中明确快充倍率指标后,有利于快充类纯电动客车的销售,进而增加对快充设备的需求。由于公司充电设备业务占比较高,充电设备市场的高速增长会为公司带来较高的业绩弹性。

锂电池景气不改 销售旺季即将到来

新能源汽车最重要的零部件当属动力电池。目前来看,三元锂电池持续替代磷酸铁锂电池,成为我国主流动力电池是大势所趋。有行业人士预计,2017-2020年我国动力电池复合增速将达59%,而三元锂电池的复合增速将高达88%。2017年1-5月,三元锂和锰酸锂电池占比由2016年同期的26%上升至67%。三元锂行业数据靓丽,印证三元锂实现替代性增长正在进行。从产业链机会来看,锂电池行业景气度持续高涨,随着下游需求的增加,行业龙头值得关注,业绩存在超预期可能。

锂电池行业的快速发展,和政策驱动不无关系。可以看到,《汽车动力电池行业规范条件》中将锂离子动力电池企业门槛从“2亿瓦时”提高至“80亿瓦时”,行业主力厂商扩产意愿强烈。严格的政策的出台将加快锂电池行业的洗牌,鼓励动力电池企业提升技术,扩大高密度能量电池生产能力。锂电池企业前两强市场份额从2015年的38%提升至2016年的48%,前四强从2015年的54%提升至2016年的62%。动力电池行业内具备技术优势、规模优势的龙头企业值得重视。

中金公司分析师李璇指出,新能源车推荐目录、新能源车补贴、技术路线图等均体现了动力电池技术提升的趋势,对锂电池与材料产品的要求提高。预计未来三元NCM、三元NCA、硅碳负极、石墨化负极等技术将继续提升,拥有较高技术水平的龙头公司强者恒强,领先优势将得到市场的重新认识。

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