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维护成本高盈利模式不明 共享单车能否熬过下个冬天

2016-12-29 11:05:07   

与此同时,ofo负责人对北青报记者表示,ofo目前可以达到盈亏平衡。不过,对于公司具体的盈利模式,该负责人表示不便透露。

对此,罗超表示,“ofo单车成本低,直接依靠用户的付费就可盈利,同时还有押金带来的资金流可以形成金融模式,ofo则想成为传统自行车的销售和展示渠道,通过类似于Uber模式让更多市民和自行车生产厂商、经销商加入到自行车共享之中,通过分成等模式实现盈利。”

事实上,共享单车目前也在给用户补贴。每个共享单车APP在下载注册后都会收到赠送的金额,ofo等还在用户使用完毕后发放优惠券,用以鼓励用户分享。此外,此前ofo还有充值奖励。

预测

明年将有单车企业成功上岸

对于新兴的共享单车领域,业界一直有讨论。有人表示,共享单车行业损耗率大、盈利模式模糊,行业前途未卜;也有人表示,共享单车季节性明显,冬季需求明显减少,如何持续激发需求还是问题;还有人表示,这是政府公共自行车可以做到的领域,且涉及交通安全、城市管理等问题,共享单车行业的发展和政策密切。因此有人预言“共享单车熬不过下个冬天”。

对此,互联网专家葛甲对北青报记者表示,共享单车很明显是当前创业领域存在的一个不可多得的机会,城市超短途出行存在较大需求,且很难通过优化城市道路和控制出行车辆加以改善,尤其是在北上广深这样的交通拥堵城市,共享单车恰好填补了这一需求。

葛甲认为,共享单车创业目前存在的问题是,如何平衡好运营成本与发展速度之间的矛盾,高投入意味着高市场占有率,也意味着财务上的风险,而无孔不入的地推活动及同行激烈竞争,也会将这一行业的整体成本飙高,与此同时共享单车本身的技术含量却没有得到有效提升,规则的制定也陷于落后,久而久之在用户端形成不良的使用习惯,改也难。

他表示,一个市场只要有需求,就不愁经营不下去,明年的这个时候至多是倒下几家或者几十家,但总还是会有经营得法的企业生存下来并迎来收获期。共享单车本身的产品逻辑是比滴滴更符合共享精神的,需求也很旺盛,监管跟进的速度也比较快,因此我预测明年至少有三到五家以上的创业公司会成功上岸,并在超短途出行领域形成一个初步的用户市场,成败的关键在运营水平的提升和运营成本的控制。这个行业本身,还是可以被看好的。

文/本报记者 温婧

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