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春风动力净利下降产能利用率滑坡 负债6亿外销坐滑梯

2017-09-01 09:11:23   中国经济网

恒泰证券:压力位35元至40元

恒泰证券在研报中指出,春风动力十分重视公司品牌在全球的营销推广,坚持投入大量人力、资金培育品牌影响力。在全地形车方面,2014年至2016年公司全地形车出口额分别占当年全国同类产品出口额的73.33%、67.76%和65.70%。公司全地形车出口金额、出口数量连续7年位列全国首位。在摩托车方面,2014年至2016年公司在全国250cc以上排量跨骑式二轮摩托车销量排名中位居第二位;2014年公司CF650G型公务车成为全国唯一入选国宾护卫队专用车的车型,并在2015年抗战胜利70周年活动中作为老兵护卫方队亮相;2016年9月,CF650G型公务车再次承担G20杭州峰会国宾护卫任务。

主要潜在风险包括:主要销售国市场环境变化的风险。2015以来,公司主要销售市场之一俄罗斯受经济下滑、俄罗斯卢布大幅贬值等因素的影响,公司2015年、2016年对俄罗斯市场销售收入分别较上年下降70.66%和38.73%,对公司经营业绩产生了较大的负面压力。公司2015年加大了对美国、内销等市场的开拓力度,上述地区的市场销售保持了较快的增长势头,在一定程度上对冲了俄罗斯市场销售下降的影响。对于美国、澳大利亚等发达地区以及南美等新兴市场和内销的销售将是公司未来市场拓展的重点方向,但如果上述地区的市场环境发生重大变化,将对公司经营状况产生重大影响。

国际专利诉讼的风险。在国际市场竞争过程中,采用国际专利诉讼是常见的竞争手段之一。未来公司在海外市场拓展过程中,如果在知识产权专利检索、专利回避设计等事项处理失当,则有可能被相关国际竞争对手以专利侵权为由提起专利诉讼,从而对公司造成惩罚性赔款、禁止进入某地区市场等负面影响。

恒泰证券预计公司2017、2018年每股收益分别为0.79元、0.91元,结合目前市场状况,预计上市初期压力位35元-40元。

应收账款和存货余额较大

2013年至2016年,春风动力应收账款账余额分别为7,476.13万元、16,821.59万元、13,303.05万元和13,557.81万元,应收账款规模较大。应收账款净额分别为7,112.63万元、16,316.52万元、12,682.81万元、12,609.62万元,占当期营业收入比重6.48%、12.19%、10.57%、9.00%。应收账款周转率分别为15.93、11.02、7.97、10.43。

报告期内,公司坏账准备金额逐年上升分别为363.50万元、505.08万元、620.25万元、948.19万元。  

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