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【深度】妖股方大炭素炼成记
2017-08-11 13:48:09 中国经济网
石墨电极原材料针状焦目前受到国外控制,且进入国内后主要流向了新能源锂电池负极材料,供应限制也是国内很多公司产量不能有效释放的原因之一。供给端的紧张可见一斑。
而在需求端,方大炭素称,公司产品主要用于电弧炉炼钢,受国家淘汰落后产能,取缔“地条钢”,废钢的供给增加,价格下降;钢材价格上涨等因素影响,电炉炼钢的比例出现恢复性增长,使得炼钢用石墨电极需求量出现增长。
据界面新闻记者了解,高炉-转炉炼钢主要原材料焦煤、焦炭价格大幅上涨,相比之下这也凸显了废钢为主电炉钢生产企业的成本优势。
另一方面,下游钢材价格高企也刺激了市场敏锐的神经。盘面显示,螺纹钢主力合约在连续上攻之下,已创出新高。
兴证期货高级研究员施海告诉界面新闻记者,最近涨价的概念比较多,有色黑色都有多头进去做多,同时美元汇率下跌比较多,跷跷板效应也会令大宗商品上涨。“现在已经不仅仅是产能替换的概念了,由于经济向好,基本面支撑下工业品需求增长,导致螺纹钢等价格上涨。”
在经济效应上,据招商证券研究,目前螺纹钢利润水平非常高接近1000元/吨,同时废钢炼钢成本相对于铁水依然具有一定经济效应。
“选择电弧炉,一来是有利润,二来是更为便捷。”前述行业人士表示,电弧炉相对较灵活,都是几十万吨级别的。
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