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打造第二个“金色十年”,推进更强劲、更包容、更可持续的共同发展
2017-09-04 21:15:47 中国经济网
金砖国家经济合作进入新阶段,既同全球政治经济形势密不可分,也是金砖国家主动调控宏观经济和加强共同发展的结果。首先,国际局势继续发生深刻变化,不稳定、不确定因素明显增加,地区冲突此起彼伏,部分地区局势动荡有所加剧,全球反恐形势复杂严峻,导致全球市场仍没有实现强劲活力,世界贸易低位徘回,国际金融市场波动,冲击了世界经济实现强劲、可持续复苏,金砖国家经济也难免受其拖累。与此同时,在全球新一轮科技和产业革命呼之欲出的情况下,世界各国纷纷制定和调整各自的国家经济发展战略,金砖国家经济面临日益激烈的竞争。其次,金砖国家在经历了十余年的高速增长之后,经济社会发展也浮现出一些问题,因此抓住机遇主动调控宏观经济,进行经济政策调整,力图实现经济转型升级,增速放缓是改革中的阵痛。中国主动调整并适应“新常态”下的经济发展,巴西新政府也推动了包含社保、就业、国企改革等在内的全面经济改革进程,印度政府积极推进包括土地、税收、货币和就业等多个领域的深度改革,南非政府也推出了“激进经济改革措施”。
二、金砖国家经济合作前景展望
10年耕耘,10年收获。金砖国家经济合作契合世界经济发展的客观需要,持续走深走实,取得令人称道的丰硕成果,成为新兴市场国家和发展中国家合作的重要平台。
1、依然闪耀的金砖
展望未来,金砖国家经济发展前景依然光明,并将为世界经济发展和推动国际经济金融体系的改革做出更大贡献。这份信心来自于:第一,要全面、客观的看待造成金砖国家近期经济增速相对放缓的原因,认识到金砖国家经济快速发展的各项基础要素没有发生变化,其资源能源禀赋强、内生动力足,产业结构日趋合理,国民经济和工业体系日益完善,与全球金融危机期间发达经济体面临的流动性困难、债务危机、需求不足等问题有本质区别。第二,经过主动调整和改革,金砖五国着力解决发展中面临的问题,进一步增强了内生动力,通过包容性增长,经济发展正迎来从量的增长向质的提升的崭新阶段。第三,金砖国家认同逐步构建,政策更加协调,合作日益加深,互补性逐步提升,拥有巨大的合作潜力和发展空间,在国际经济金融体系中的话语权进一步增强。
2、金砖国家未来经济合作的重点
经济合作是推动金砖国家发展的持久动力,是金砖国家深化和拓展合作的压舱石和稳定器,进入第二个十年的金砖国家经济合作将迎来更强劲、更包容、更可持续的共同发展,重点在以下方面加强合作。
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