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飞行列车时速将达4000公里 媒体:要这么快干嘛?
“时速4000公里的地面飞行列车”刷了屏,不少网友已经在为能改变我们生活方式的“下一代交通系统”欢呼雀跃,似乎它呼之欲出,正携风带闪,扑面而来。
在时速400公里的高速列车尚未实现商业化运营的大背景下,且不说借助真空管道的“地面飞行”从实验到实用还有多远,我只想问:时速4000公里,要这么快干嘛?
在此速度下,京津之间,真是“分分钟”的事情;京沪、京汉等,理论上仅需十几二十分钟;以北京为圆点的“一小时都市圈”,可以画到广州,甚至乌鲁木齐……但是兴奋之余,且慢,如此美好遐想,好像从北京城的任意一点到火车站,也都能“分分钟”似的。不然,跌回现实,花1小时、2小时赶到北京站,十几二十分钟到上海,再花1小时、2小时进上海,这有意义吗?
问题的关键在于,时速4000公里,决非单纯的技术问题——中间的“十几二十分钟”,必然付出巨大代价:人力、物力、财力,以及时间和难以估量的技术挑战。如果不计成本地做成,结果仍是两头堵,中间畅,乘客买单吗?
从技术经济性考量,“速度和距离成正相关关系”是常识。好比北京到天津,坐飞机刚一起飞就得准备降落,显然不是一个理智的选择。由此看,以中国的幅员范围,花费巨资打造时速4000公里基础上的“一小时××圈”,并不具现实价值;时速4000公里用于跨国、跨洲,或许值得考虑,但那又须面临诸如长距离海底真空管道建设等更严峻的技术难题,以及更复杂的经济可行性和地缘政治风险。
回到国内、当下,在幻想“时速4000公里”之前,把更多资源投入城市内通勤问题的解决似更加迫在眉睫,因为它是使中间那“十几二十分钟”变得有意义的前提。至于几十年、甚至百年后,这个幻想速度能否成真,能否有用,谁知道呢!
责任编辑:李皓 CN002
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