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双节叠加季末效应 货基迎布局良机

2017-09-25 08:01:53   中国经济网

10月1日,《公开募集开放式证券投资基金流动性风险管理规定》即将实施,业内人士预计,在新规之下最主要的改变可能是货币基金收益率的下降。不过,收益率虽降,但可投资价值仍在,货币基金无论从长期还是短期来看收益率依然高于银行定期存款,临近国庆中秋长假,受制季末MPA考核的压力,在资金利率短暂冲高的时点,正是投资者布局货币基金的良好时机。

货币基金回归流动性管理工具

截至7月末,货币基金资产规模达到5.86万亿元,再创历史新高。从单只基金看,百亿、千亿级的货币基金纷纷涌现。《公开募集开放式证券投资基金流动性风险管理规定》对产品设计、投资限制、申赎管理、估值与信息披露等方面,均实施系统规范和风控管理,从长远来看对市场流动性管理来说是有利的。

与规模扩张同时受到影响的是,新规对投资标的的限制也对货币基金的收益造成影响。据资讯统计显示,截至目前,货币基金平均年化收益率报3.9599%,创6月份以来新低。

在严要求、限规模、降收益的背景下,业内人士普遍认为,货币基金将告别高速扩张时期,回归流动性管理工具的定位。虽然相比收益高涨的银行理财等替代产品,货币基金的可投资价值在降低,但相比银行存款来说,其收益率依然具有吸引力。

广发钱袋子、广发天天利基金经理任爽表示,就今年来看,货币市场整体收益区间处于4%-5%之间。对于自营类机构来说,考虑风险权重、税收效应,货币基金是当前最具吸引力、安全、且量大的资产,因此今年以来这类机构给货币基金贡献了最大的增幅。

节前迎来布局良机

随着月末时点的临近,业内人士认为,今年节前预计不会出现资金特别紧张的局面,在资金利率短暂冲高的时点,正是投资者布局货币基金的良好时机。

分析人士表示,随着月末时点的临近,资金供需形势有所转紧,但下周财政存款的投放及近期央行流动性的稳健调控,仍对资金面构成显著支撑。综合考虑到市场情绪仍较平稳,预计节前一周资金面不会出现超预期紧绷。

广发基金任爽表示,季末MPA考核的压力日益临近,同业存单面临续发压力。在央行娴熟的日常操作以及削峰填谷的操作思路下,预计不会出现特别紧张的局面。不过,在资金利率短暂冲高的时点,正是投资者布局货币基金的良好时机。

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