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航空股Q3业绩可期

2017-09-15 20:26:51   中国经济网

本刊记者 段倩男/文

上半年,航空运输行业交出一份中规中矩的成绩单。根据民航局公布的《中国民航2017年6月份主要生产指标统计》,全行业2017年上半年完成运输总周转量513.4亿吨公里,同比增长12.5%;旅客周转量4537.8亿人公里,同比增长14.1%;旅客运输量26333.9万人次,同比增长13.4%;货邮周转量112.4亿吨公里,同比增长7.5%,货邮载运量329.2万吨,同比增长5.1%。民航旅客周转量在综合交通运输体系中的比重达28.2%,同比提升2.3个百分点。

从某种程度上来说,航空运输上市公司尤其是三大航空公司的业绩比较能体现行业盈利水平。

整体来看,6家上市公司上半年全部实现了营业收入的正增长,但只有东方航空一家实现了归属于上市公司股东的净利润正增长。

多重利好促营收

上半年,中国国航实现营业收入581.55亿元,同比增长8.65%;南方航空实现营业收入603.19亿元,同比增长11.54%;东方航空实现营业收入480.20亿元,同比增长3.64%;海航控股实现营业收入285.26亿元,同比增长50.17%;吉祥航空实现营业收入58.61亿元,同比增长23.35%;春秋航空实现营业收入50.65亿元,同比增长28.12%。

可以看出,上半年,海航的营收增长幅度最高,为50.17%;南航营业收入最高,为603.19亿元。

供需两旺是行业营收增长的王道。根据半年报,中国国航是三大航中唯一一家客座率和票价齐升的公司,公司采取谨慎的运力扩张计划,客运投入1189.92亿可用座位公里,同比增加4.94%;实现客运总周转量964.15亿收入客公里,同比增长6.53%;客座利用率为81.31%,同比上升1.20个百分点,票价提升1.43%,客运收入实现同比增幅8.02%。

南方航空上半年供给增加9.43%,因公司淡季采用“重人头、轻票价”策略,票价下跌了2.04%。票价的下降也推高了需求,需求增幅为12.49%,客座率为82.31%,同比提升2.24个百分点。

东方航空上半年供给增长9.6%,客座率提升0.44个百分点至81.31%,但客运人公里收益(含燃油附加费)基本与上年同期持平。

其他三家航空公司的供需增长也是可圈可点。海航的收入客公里数同比增长了50.40%,收入货运公里数同比增长了33.30%;春秋航空平均客座率为91.81% 同比下降了1.15个百分点,但仍然是六家上市公司里最高的;吉祥航空上半年的客座率为87.10%,同比增长了1.01个百分点。

人民币对美元的不断升值也为行业发展送来“红包”。

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