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德银:利润率复苏 销售强劲增长 调高融创目标价至27.07港元

2017-09-08 14:51:51   中国经济网

9月,德意志银行发布报告称,将融创中国(01918.HK)2017~2019年的预期利润提升了2%-16%,以反映融创当前强劲的销售和更高的毛利率水平。

数据显示,融创的毛利率已由2016年的13.7%提升至2017年上半年的20%左右,德意志银行对融创2017及2018年销售预测也提升了10%-16%。为此,德意志银行对融创中国维持“买入”评级,目标价由每股港币22.8元大幅提升至每股港币27.07元。

德意志银行分析称,考虑到融创在2017年上半年良好的业绩表现,以及最近新获取的土地情况,他们很看好公司的销售和盈利前景。

融创2017年下半年,已备有3880亿元可售货值,截至8月底,融创已完成超过1600亿元合同销售额。这使得公司的销售将保持强劲的势头。

德意志银行预计,融创将实现2017年3000亿元销售目标(同比增长约100%),并将于2018年实现4000亿元销售(同比增长约30%)。

2017年上半年,融创获取了超过3000万平米的土地储备,71%通过收并购获取,且总土地储备的96%位于一线、环一线和核心城市。加上7月新获取的5900万平米的万达文旅项目,一二级联动的土地储备,目前融创土地储备已超2万亿平方米,对应的可售货值超过2.5万亿元。德银继续看好,在行业加速整合的大背景下,融创强大的收并购能力能够帮助公司以较低的成本补充优质的土地储备。

与融创之前公布的盈利喜报一致,公司2017年中期业绩表现优异:收入提升26%至133亿元,毛利率由2016年底的13.7%大幅提升至19.6%,核心净利大幅提升204%至14亿元。

在融创业绩和利润双增长的同时,融创管理层也表示,将通过停缓拿地以及利润释放扩大净资产,将2018年净有息负债率降至90%以下,将2019年净有息负债率降至70%以下。

在预期业绩增长、利润增长、负债率降低的基础上,德意志银行提升融创每股NAV至港币49.21元,目标价为NAV折让45%,为每股港币27.07元。

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